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Rothes v Keith

Rothes

15:00Upcoming

Keith

Football League - Highland League · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RothesDrawKeith

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Keith 72%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Keith are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rothes 13%, draw 14%, Keith 72%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Rothes v KeithBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Rothes win13%

Draw14%

Keith win72%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundHighland League · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rothes

Keith

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Football League - Highland League

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Keith	15	−10	18
18	Rothes	15	−53	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · keith winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Keith a 72% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–3.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rothes v Keith~~1.22 – 3.08

~~Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 16 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 3 v 18~~18 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rothes win	13%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Keith win	72%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Rothes or draw	28%	–	–
Rothes clean sheet	6%	–	–
Keith clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.6%

0123450 4.3 6.4 6.3 4.9 3.21 5.6 7.6 7.4 5.6 3.62 3.4 4.7 4.5 3.3 2.13 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rothes down, Keith across0–5 goals a side shown (89.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,667 Football League - Highland League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.1% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rothes at home: 0.83 scored, 4.00 conceded a game (last 6). Keith away: 0.50 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Rothes, 3.08 for Keith. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ROT 1–5 KEI · KEI 2–1 ROT · KEI 1–0 ROT · ROT 0–1 KEI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 16 Sept

ROTHES

LLLLLL0–8 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 0–3

KEITH

LLLWLW1–4 · 2–3 · 0–5 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 6–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	15	+42	39
2	Inverurie Loco Works	16	+10	32
3	Formartine United	15	+9	28
4	Fraserburgh	15	+16	27
5	Banks O' Dee	15	+12	25
6	Clachnacuddin	14	+16	23
7	Huntly	15	+7	22
8	Strathspey Thistle	16	+7	22
9	Forres Mechanics	15	+1	21
10	Deveronvale	16	0	21
11	Nairn County	16	−2	21
12	Turriff United	16	−1	20
13	Buckie Thistle	14	+8	19
14	Keith	15	−10	18
15	Lossiemouth	15	−14	18
16	Invergordon	15	−21	13
17	Wick Academy	16	−27	10
18	Rothes	15	−53	3