Rothes v Inverurie Loco Works prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Rothes 1–3 Inverurie Loco Works INVERURIE LOCO WORKS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–3 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Inverurie Loco Works win~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.054

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inverurie Loco Works are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rothes 8%, draw 11%, Inverurie Loco Works 81%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Rothes v Inverurie Loco WorksBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rothes win8%

Draw11%

Inverurie Loco Works win81%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundHighland League · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rothes

Inverurie Loco Works

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Football League - Highland League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Inverurie Loco Works	15	+8	29
18	Rothes	13	−48	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inverurie loco works winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Inverurie Loco Works an 81% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–3.6, and 1–3 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rothes v Inverurie Loco Works~~1.06 – 3.57

~~Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 29~~18 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rothes win	8%	–	–
Draw	11%	–	–
Inverurie Loco Works win	81%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Rothes or draw	19%	–	–
Rothes clean sheet	3%	–	–
Inverurie Loco Works clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–3 at 7.4%

0123450 3.7 6.3 7.1 6.2 4.51 4.1 6.6 7.4 6.4 4.52 2.2 3.6 4.0 3.4 2.43 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rothes down, Inverurie Loco Works across0–5 goals a side shown (83.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,656 Football League - Highland League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.3% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rothes at home: 1.00 scored, 4.83 conceded a game (last 6). Inverurie Loco Works away: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Rothes, 3.57 for Inverurie Loco Works. Most likely score 1–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ROT 2–6 INV · INV 4–0 ROT · INV 3–2 ROT · ROT 0–4 INV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 5 Sept

ROTHES

LLLLLL0–5 · 1–7 · 0–8 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 0–2

INVERURIE LOCO WORKS

DWDWWL1–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 5–4 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	14	+42	38
2	Inverurie Loco Works	15	+8	29
3	Formartine United	14	+10	28
4	Fraserburgh	13	+16	25
5	Clachnacuddin	13	+20	23
6	Banks O' Dee	14	+8	22
7	Strathspey Thistle	16	+7	22
8	Huntly	14	+7	21
9	Forres Mechanics	14	+1	20
10	Buckie Thistle	13	+9	19
11	Turriff United	14	0	19
12	Lossiemouth	15	−14	18
13	Nairn County	14	−3	17
14	Deveronvale	14	−4	15
15	Keith	14	−12	15
16	Invergordon	14	−19	13
17	Wick Academy	14	−28	6
18	Rothes	13	−48	3