Rothes v Deveronvale prediction · Football League - Highland League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RothesDrawDeveronvale

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Deveronvale 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Deveronvale are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rothes 18%, draw 16%, Deveronvale 66%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Rothes v DeveronvaleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Rothes win18%

Draw16%

Deveronvale win66%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundHighland League · matchday 22

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rothes

Deveronvale

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Highland League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Deveronvale	15	−3	18
18	Rothes	14	−50	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deveronvale winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:12 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Deveronvale a 66% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–2.9, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rothes v Deveronvale~~1.47 – 2.92

~~Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 16 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 18~~18 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Deveronvale win

Published at 65%, 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rothes win	18%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Deveronvale win	66%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Rothes or draw	34%	–	–
Rothes clean sheet	6%	–	–
Deveronvale clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.5%

0123450 3.7 5.3 5.1 3.7 2.31 5.6 7.5 7.1 5.1 3.12 4.1 5.5 5.1 3.7 2.23 2.1 2.8 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rothes down, Deveronvale across0–5 goals a side shown (90.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,664 Football League - Highland League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.4% of games this season, across 134 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rothes at home: 1.17 scored, 4.17 conceded a game (last 6). Deveronvale away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Rothes, 2.92 for Deveronvale. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DEV 3–0 ROT · DEV 2–4 ROT · ROT 2–5 DEV · ROT 2–3 DEV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 16 Sept

ROTHES

LLLLLL1–7 · 0–8 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–3

DEVERONVALE

WDLLWW2–0 · 2–2 · 4–5 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	15	+42	39
2	Inverurie Loco Works	16	+10	32
3	Formartine United	15	+9	28
4	Fraserburgh	14	+16	26
5	Banks O' Dee	15	+12	25
6	Clachnacuddin	14	+16	23
7	Huntly	15	+7	22
8	Strathspey Thistle	16	+7	22
9	Forres Mechanics	15	+1	21
10	Nairn County	15	−2	20
11	Buckie Thistle	14	+8	19
12	Turriff United	15	−1	19
13	Deveronvale	15	−3	18
14	Keith	15	−10	18
15	Lossiemouth	15	−14	18
16	Invergordon	15	−21	13
17	Wick Academy	15	−27	9
18	Rothes	14	−50	3