Nairn County v Turriff United prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Nairn County 2–1 Turriff United NAIRN COUNTY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nairn County win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.558

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Nairn County just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Nairn County 39%, draw 26%, Turriff United 35%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Nairn County v Turriff UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Nairn County win39%

Draw26%

Turriff United win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundHighland League · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nairn County

Turriff United

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Football League - Highland League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Turriff United	14	0	19
13	Nairn County	14	−3	17

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nairn county winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Nairn County a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nairn County v Turriff United~~1.44 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 17 v 19~~13 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nairn County win	39%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Turriff United win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Nairn County or draw	65%	–	–
Nairn County clean sheet	27%	–	–
Turriff United clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 6.7 8.1 5.6 2.6 1 8.7 11.9 7.8 3.6 2 6.4 8.3 5.6 2.6 3 3.1 4.1 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nairn County down, Turriff United across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,656 Football League - Highland League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.3% of games this season, across 126 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.70 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Nairn County at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Turriff United away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Nairn County, 1.35 for Turriff United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.70

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TUR 3–2 NAI · NAI 1–2 TUR · NAI 3–0 TUR · NAI 2–0 TUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 5 Sept

NAIRN COUNTY

DDWWWL1–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–2

TURRIFF UNITED

LWLWLW1–3 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	14	+42	38
2	Inverurie Loco Works	15	+8	29
3	Formartine United	14	+10	28
4	Fraserburgh	13	+16	25
5	Clachnacuddin	13	+20	23
6	Banks O' Dee	14	+8	22
7	Strathspey Thistle	16	+7	22
8	Huntly	14	+7	21
9	Forres Mechanics	14	+1	20
10	Buckie Thistle	13	+9	19
11	Turriff United	14	0	19
12	Lossiemouth	15	−14	18
13	Nairn County	14	−3	17
14	Deveronvale	14	−4	15
15	Keith	14	−12	15
16	Invergordon	14	−19	13
17	Wick Academy	14	−28	6
18	Rothes	13	−48	3