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Invergordon v Rothes

Invergordon

2–0Full time

Rothes

Football League - Highland League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Invergordon 2–0 Rothes INVERGORDON WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Invergordon win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.107

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Invergordon win73%

Draw13%

Rothes win13%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · invergordon winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Invergordon a 73% chance to win. The model expects 3.4–1.5, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Invergordon win	73%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Rothes win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	71%	–	–
Invergordon or draw	87%	–	–
Invergordon clean sheet	24%	–	–
Rothes clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 6.9%

0123450 1 2.8 4.2 2.9 2 4.6 6.4 4.6 2.3 3 4.9 6.9 5.0 2.5 4 4.1 5.8 4.2 2.1 5 2.9 4.0 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Invergordon down, Rothes across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,646 Football League - Highland League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.0% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Invergordon at home: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Rothes away: 0.50 scored, 4.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.44 goals for Invergordon, 1.46 for Rothes. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League

INVERGORDON

LLLWLL3–6 · 0–2 · 2–7 · 3–1 · 0–7 · 0–1

ROTHES

LLLLLL0–5 · 0–5 · 1–7 · 0–8 · 1–4 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	13	+41	35
2	Inverurie Loco Works	14	+10	29
3	Formartine United	13	+8	25
4	Fraserburgh	12	+16	24
5	Clachnacuddin	12	+17	20
6	Strathspey Thistle	14	+7	20
7	Forres Mechanics	13	+3	20
8	Buckie Thistle	12	+12	19
9	Banks O' Dee	13	+2	19
10	Huntly	13	+5	18
11	Nairn County	13	−2	17
12	Lossiemouth	13	−8	17
13	Turriff United	13	−2	16
14	Keith	13	−10	15
15	Deveronvale	13	−5	12
16	Invergordon	13	−21	10
17	Wick Academy	13	−27	6
18	Rothes	12	−46	3