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Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

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Huntly v Keith

Huntly
2–0Full time
Keith

Football League - Highland League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30
Huntly 2–0 Keith HUNTLY WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Huntly win52%
The market said52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.347
The market’s Brier score0.339

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Huntly win52%
Draw23%
Keith win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · huntly winPublished 10 Oct 23:45
52% The market52%
Us52%
Market52%

We make Huntly a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55% 9 OCT 06:2010 OCT 13:20
Our probability · huntly win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Huntly win52%52%−1
Draw23%24%−1
Keith win25%24%+1
Over 2.5 goals59%62%−3
Both teams to score58%62%−3
Over 1.5 goals81%79%+1
Over 3.5 goals37%41%−4
Huntly or draw75%76%−1
Huntly clean sheet30%––
Keith clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 5.2 5.6 3.5 1 8.6 10.6 6.2 2.6 2 8.0 9.4 5.6 2.3 3 4.9 5.8 3.5 4 2.3 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Huntly down, Keith across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.20
Over 2.52 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsHUN 1–1 KEI · KEI 2–0 HUN · HUN 7–0 KEI · KEI 1–2 HUN

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League

HUNTLY

LWLDWW1–2 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 7–0 · 3–1

KEITH

WWLLLW3–2 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 2–3 · 0–5 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Brora Rangers13+4135
2Inverurie Loco Works14+1029
3Formartine United13+825
4Fraserburgh12+1624
5Clachnacuddin12+1720
6Strathspey Thistle14+720
7Forres Mechanics13+320
8Buckie Thistle12+1219
9Banks O' Dee13+219
10Huntly13+518
11Nairn County13−217
12Lossiemouth13−817
13Turriff United13−216
14Keith13−1015
15Deveronvale13−512
16Invergordon13−2110
17Wick Academy13−276
18Rothes12−463

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 19:46 UTC.