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Formartine United v Buckie Thistle

Formartine United

15:00Upcoming

Buckie Thistle

Football League - Highland League · SAT 31 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Formartine UnitedDrawBuckie Thistle

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Formartine United 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Formartine United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Formartine United 49%, draw 24%, Buckie Thistle 27%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Formartine United v Buckie ThistleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Formartine United win49%

Draw24%

Buckie Thistle win27%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundHighland League · matchday 16

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Formartine United

Buckie Thistle

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Highland League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Formartine United	15	+9	28
13	Buckie Thistle	14	+8	19

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · formartine united winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Formartine United a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Formartine United v Buckie Thistle~~1.77 – 1.26

~~Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 28 v 19~~3 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Formartine United win	49%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Buckie Thistle win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Formartine United or draw	73%	–	–
Formartine United clean sheet	29%	–	–
Buckie Thistle clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.4 6.0 3.9 1 8.4 10.8 6.7 2.9 2 7.5 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 4.5 5.4 3.4 4 2.0 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Formartine United down, Buckie Thistle across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,667 Football League - Highland League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.1% of games this season, across 137 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Formartine United at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Buckie Thistle away: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Formartine United, 1.26 for Buckie Thistle. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BUC 1–0 FOR · FOR 0–2 BUC · FOR 3–1 BUC · BUC 1–1 FOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League this season · since 12 Sept

FORMARTINE UNITED

DDWWWL1–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–2

BUCKIE THISTLE

LLLLLL0–3 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 0–3 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	15	+42	39
2	Inverurie Loco Works	16	+10	32
3	Formartine United	15	+9	28
4	Fraserburgh	15	+16	27
5	Banks O' Dee	15	+12	25
6	Clachnacuddin	14	+16	23
7	Huntly	15	+7	22
8	Strathspey Thistle	16	+7	22
9	Forres Mechanics	15	+1	21
10	Deveronvale	16	0	21
11	Nairn County	16	−2	21
12	Turriff United	16	−1	20
13	Buckie Thistle	14	+8	19
14	Keith	15	−10	18
15	Lossiemouth	15	−14	18
16	Invergordon	15	−21	13
17	Wick Academy	16	−27	10
18	Rothes	15	−53	3