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Deveronvale v Wick Academy

Deveronvale

2–1Full time

Wick Academy

Football League - Highland League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Deveronvale 2–1 Wick Academy DEVERONVALE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Deveronvale win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.353

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Deveronvale win52%

Draw21%

Wick Academy win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · deveronvale winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Deveronvale a 52% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deveronvale win	52%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Wick Academy win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Deveronvale or draw	73%	–	–
Deveronvale clean sheet	24%	–	–
Wick Academy clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.5 4.3 3.2 1 6.1 9.1 6.3 3.1 2 6.4 8.9 6.3 3.1 3 4.4 6.1 4.3 2.1 4 2.3 3.2 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deveronvale down, Wick Academy across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,646 Football League - Highland League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.0% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 4.20 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deveronvale at home: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Wick Academy away: 1.17 scored, 3.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for Deveronvale, 1.44 for Wick Academy. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.20

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~WIC 6–1 DEV · DEV 3–2 WIC · DEV 4–1 WIC · WIC 0–1 DEV

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League

DEVERONVALE

WLWDLL3–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 4–5 · 1–2

WICK ACADEMY

LWLLWL1–4 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 4–3 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	13	+41	35
2	Inverurie Loco Works	14	+10	29
3	Formartine United	13	+8	25
4	Fraserburgh	12	+16	24
5	Clachnacuddin	12	+17	20
6	Strathspey Thistle	14	+7	20
7	Forres Mechanics	13	+3	20
8	Buckie Thistle	12	+12	19
9	Banks O' Dee	13	+2	19
10	Huntly	13	+5	18
11	Nairn County	13	−2	17
12	Lossiemouth	13	−8	17
13	Turriff United	13	−2	16
14	Keith	13	−10	15
15	Deveronvale	13	−5	12
16	Invergordon	13	−21	10
17	Wick Academy	13	−27	6
18	Rothes	12	−46	3