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Brora Rangers v Nairn County

Brora Rangers

2–1Full time

Nairn County

Football League - Highland League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Brora Rangers 2–1 Nairn County BRORA RANGERS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Brora Rangers win~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.058

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Brora Rangers win81%

Draw12%

Nairn County win8%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · brora rangers winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

81% The market–

Us81%

We make Brora Rangers a 81% chance to win. The model expects 3.2–0.9, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Brora Rangers win	81%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Nairn County win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	59%	–	–
Brora Rangers or draw	92%	–	–
Brora Rangers clean sheet	40%	–	–
Nairn County clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.6%

0123450 1 5.3 5.0 2.3 2 8.3 7.5 3.5 3 8.6 7.8 3.6 4 6.9 6.2 2.8 5 4.5 4.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Brora Rangers down, Nairn County across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,646 Football League - Highland League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.0% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.20 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Brora Rangers at home: 4.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Nairn County away: 1.17 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.21 goals for Brora Rangers, 0.92 for Nairn County. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~NAI 2–1 BRO · BRO 3–1 NAI · BRO 1–0 NAI · NAI 1–5 BRO

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League

BRORA RANGERS

WWWWWW3–1 · 2–1 · 7–2 · 8–0 · 5–0 · 5–2

NAIRN COUNTY

DDDWWW0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	13	+41	35
2	Inverurie Loco Works	14	+10	29
3	Formartine United	13	+8	25
4	Fraserburgh	12	+16	24
5	Clachnacuddin	12	+17	20
6	Strathspey Thistle	14	+7	20
7	Forres Mechanics	13	+3	20
8	Buckie Thistle	12	+12	19
9	Banks O' Dee	13	+2	19
10	Huntly	13	+5	18
11	Nairn County	13	−2	17
12	Lossiemouth	13	−8	17
13	Turriff United	13	−2	16
14	Keith	13	−10	15
15	Deveronvale	13	−5	12
16	Invergordon	13	−21	10
17	Wick Academy	13	−27	6
18	Rothes	12	−46	3