Huntly v Annan Athletic
HuntlyAnnan AthleticFA Cup · SAT 24 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 2–2, the score after 90 minutes. Annan Athletic won 1–4 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Annan Athletic win at 60%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Annan Athletic was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 19–21–60
- 1′KICK-OFF Huntly v Annan Athletic
- 21′Annan Athletic find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 6–13–81
- 21′We published Annan Athletic at 60%. Our model now makes it 81%. 0–1 · 6–13–81
- 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Huntly 0–1 Annan Athletic
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 81% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 6–14–81
- 45′HALF-TIME Huntly 0–1 Annan Athletic
- 46′SECOND HALF Huntly 0–1 Annan Athletic
- 49′A goal for Huntly on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 18–36–46
- 49′We said Annan Athletic at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 1–1 · 18–36–46
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Huntly 1–1 Annan Athletic
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 46% now
- 52′We said Annan Athletic at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 18–38–44
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
- 60′Huntly score on 59′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 61–27–12
- 60′We said Annan Athletic at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 2–1 · 61–27–12
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' Huntly 2–1 Annan Athletic
- 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 12% now
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Huntly win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Annan Athletic win 42%)
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
- 65′We said Annan Athletic at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 65–26–9
- 75′We said Annan Athletic at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 75–21–4
- 82′Annan Athletic find the net on 82′. 2–2. 2–2 · 8–77–16
- 82′We said Annan Athletic at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 8–77–16
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Huntly 2–2 Annan Athletic
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 16% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Huntly win 84%)
- 83′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 7–79–14
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Annan Athletic win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 44%. 2–2 · 17–44–39
- 92′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 46%. 2–2 · 17–46–38
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Huntly 2–2 Annan Athletic
- FTHuntly 2–2 Annan Athletic after 90 minutes, as graded · Annan Athletic win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Annan Athletic are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Huntly 19%, draw 21%, Annan Athletic 60%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Huntly win19%Annan Athletic win60%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundRound of 128
Match timeline
All events
HuntlyMINAnnan AthleticEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Huntly
Annan Athletic
Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Highland League
Last match: 17 Oct · the Scottish League Two
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Annan Athletic a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huntly win | 19% | 22% | −3 |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 0 |
| Annan Athletic win | 60% | 57% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 60% | +2 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 81% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 39% | +1 |
| Huntly or draw | 40% | 43% | −3 |
| Huntly clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
| Annan Athletic clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 3 Oct
HUNTLY
ANNAN ATHLETIC
No matches in our record yet.