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Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
–Postponed
Musselburgh Athletic

FA Cup · SAT 31 OCT

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hill Of Beath Hawthorn 48%, draw 25%, Musselburgh Athletic 28%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh AthleticBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win48%
Draw25%
Musselburgh Athletic win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn

Musselburgh Athletic

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hill of beath hawthorn winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:17 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Hill Of Beath Hawthorn a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hill Of Beath Hawthorn v Musselburgh Athletic1.50 – 1.06
Form · FA Cup this season · since 3 OctW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50% 18 OCT 01:2325 OCT 03:22
Our probability · Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win

Published at 49%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win48%––
Draw25%––
Musselburgh Athletic win28%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn or draw72%––
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn clean sheet35%––
Musselburgh Athletic clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%
0123450 7.7 8.8 4.4 1 12.1 11.3 6.3 2.3 2 8.6 8.7 4.7 3 4.4 4.5 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hill Of Beath Hawthorn down, Musselburgh Athletic across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026/27
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsHIL 1–0 MUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Cup this season · since 3 Oct

HILL OF BEATH HAWTHORN

W2–0

MUSSELBURGH ATHLETIC

W2–1

Last updated 24 Oct 20:47 UK time.