

Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors
Gretna 2008
Cumnock JuniorsFA Cup · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cumnock Juniors win at 58%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Cumnock Juniors was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 25–17–58
- 1′KICK-OFF Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors
- 3′A goal for Cumnock Juniors on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–13–75
- 3′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 12–13–75
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Gretna 2008 0–1 Cumnock Juniors
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Cumnock Juniors win: 58% at kick-off, 75% now
- 12′Cumnock Juniors score on 12′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–7–89
- 12′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 89%. 0–2 · 4–7–89
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Gretna 2008 0–2 Cumnock Juniors
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Cumnock Juniors win: 58% at kick-off, 89% now
- 24′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–2 · 4–7–90
- 33′Goals are coming at about the 4.4 we expected. 0–2 · 3–7–90
- 45′HALF-TIME Gretna 2008 0–2 Cumnock Juniors
- 46′SECOND HALF Gretna 2008 0–2 Cumnock Juniors
- 54′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–3 · 0–1–99
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Gretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Cumnock Juniors win: 58% at kick-off, 99% now
- 55′Cumnock Juniors ahead on 54′ through J. Smith. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
- 69′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Gretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors
- FTGretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors · Cumnock Juniors win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cumnock Juniors are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Gretna 2008 25%, draw 17%, Cumnock Juniors 58%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 75%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Gretna 2008 win25%
Cumnock Juniors win58%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundRound of 128
Match timeline
All events
Gretna 2008MIN
Cumnock JuniorsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Gretna 2008
Cumnock Juniors
Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League
Last match: 10 Oct · Football League - Lowland League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cumnock Juniors a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gretna 2008 win | 25% | – | – |
| Draw | 17% | – | – |
| Cumnock Juniors win | 58% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 75% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% | – | – |
| Gretna 2008 or draw | 42% | – | – |
| Gretna 2008 clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
| Cumnock Juniors clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 2 Oct
GRETNA 2008
CUMNOCK JUNIORS