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Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors

Gretna 2008
0–3Full time
Cumnock Juniors

FA Cup · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Gretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors CUMNOCK JUNIORS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Cumnock Juniors win58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.271

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cumnock Juniors win at 58%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Cumnock Juniors was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 25–17–58
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors
  4. 3′A goal for Cumnock Juniors on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–13–75
  5. 3′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 12–13–75
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Gretna 2008 0–1 Cumnock Juniors
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Cumnock Juniors win: 58% at kick-off, 75% now
  8. 12′Cumnock Juniors score on 12′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–7–89
  9. 12′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 89%. 0–2 · 4–7–89
  10. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Gretna 2008 0–2 Cumnock Juniors
  11. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Cumnock Juniors win: 58% at kick-off, 89% now
  12. 24′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–2 · 4–7–90
  13. 33′Goals are coming at about the 4.4 we expected. 0–2 · 3–7–90
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Gretna 2008 0–2 Cumnock Juniors
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Gretna 2008 0–2 Cumnock Juniors
  16. 54′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–3 · 0–1–99
  17. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Gretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors
  18. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Cumnock Juniors win: 58% at kick-off, 99% now
  19. 55′Cumnock Juniors ahead on 54′ through J. Smith. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
  20. 69′We published Cumnock Juniors at 58%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  21. FTFULL TIME Gretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors
  22. FTGretna 2008 0–3 Cumnock Juniors · Cumnock Juniors win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cumnock Juniors are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gretna 2008 25%, draw 17%, Cumnock Juniors 58%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Gretna 2008 v Cumnock JuniorsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Gretna 2008 win25%
Draw17%
Cumnock Juniors win58%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundRound of 128

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gretna 2008

Cumnock Juniors

7Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

Last match: 10 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cumnock juniors winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
58% The market–
Us58%

We make Cumnock Juniors a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.7, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Gretna 2008 v Cumnock Juniors1.71 – 2.66
Form · FA Cup this season · since 2 OctW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gretna 2008 win25%––
Draw17%––
Cumnock Juniors win58%––
Over 2.5 goals80%––
Both teams to score75%––
Over 1.5 goals92%––
Over 3.5 goals63%––
Gretna 2008 or draw42%––
Gretna 2008 clean sheet8%––
Cumnock Juniors clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.5%
0123450 3.9 4.6 3.9 2.6 1 2.7 5.7 7.5 6.4 4.3 2.32 2.0 5.0 6.2 5.4 3.6 3 2.8 3.6 3.1 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gretna 2008 down, Cumnock Juniors across0–5 goals a side shown (92.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Cup this season · since 2 Oct

GRETNA 2008

W1–0

CUMNOCK JUNIORS

W2–0