

Brechin v Strathspey Thistle
Brechin
Strathspey ThistleFA Cup · SAT 24 OCT
Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 2–2, the score after 90 minutes. Brechin won 6–5 on penalties.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Brechin win at 82%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Brechin was 82% before kick-off and our model makes it 82% now. 0–0 · 82–12–6
- 1′KICK-OFF Brechin v Strathspey Thistle
- 2′A goal for Brechin on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 94–5–2
- 2′We published Brechin at 82%. Our model now makes it 94%. 1–0 · 94–5–2
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Brechin 1–0 Strathspey Thistle
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 94% now
- 6′GOAL DISALLOWED · 6' Brechin
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 81% now
- 7′A goal for Strathspey Thistle on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 61–20–19
- 7′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 61%. 0–1 · 61–20–19
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Brechin 0–1 Strathspey Thistle
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 61% now
- 9′Brechin score on 8′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 80–13–7
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Brechin 1–1 Strathspey Thistle
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 80% now
- 32′Strathspey Thistle find the net on 32′. 1–2. 1–2 · 47–26–27
- 32′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 1–2 · 47–26–27
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Brechin 1–2 Strathspey Thistle
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 47% now
- 35′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–2 · 44–27–29
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 42% now
- 42′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–2 · 39–29–32
- 45′HALF-TIME Brechin 1–2 Strathspey Thistle
- 46′SECOND HALF Brechin 1–2 Strathspey Thistle
- 48′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–2 · 34–30–36
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 32% now
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Strathspey Thistle win is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Brechin win 35%)
- 54′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–31–40
- 59′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–32–44
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 22% now
- 62′Goals are coming at about the 3.8 we expected. 1–2 · 21–32–47
- 64′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–32–49
- 65′A goal for Brechin on 65′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 50–42–9
- 65′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 2–2 · 50–42–9
- 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Brechin 2–2 Strathspey Thistle
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 50% now
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Brechin win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Strathspey Thistle win 49%)
- 66′4 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 49–43–8
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 42% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Brechin win 46%)
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 31% now
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 22% now
- 87′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–83–3
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Brechin win: 82% at kick-off, 12% now
- 90′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–88–2
- 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Brechin likeliest at 55%. 2–2 · 55–36–9
- 94′We said Brechin at 82%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–2 · 3–96–1
- 96′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Brechin likeliest at 49%. 2–2 · 49–43–8
- 99′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 47%. 2–2 · 45–47–8
- 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. The shoot-out decides who goes through - our model does not price it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Brechin 2–2 Strathspey Thistle
- FTBrechin 2–2 Strathspey Thistle after 90 minutes, as graded · Brechin win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Brechin are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Brechin 82%, draw 12%, Strathspey Thistle 6%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Brechin win82%
Strathspey Thistle win6%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundRound of 128
Match timeline
All events
BrechinMIN
Strathspey ThistleEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Brechin
Strathspey Thistle
Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League
Last match: 16 Oct · Football League - Highland League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Brechin an 82% chance to win. The model expects 3.1–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brechin win | 82% | – | – |
| Draw | 12% | – | – |
| Strathspey Thistle win | 6% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | – | – |
| Brechin or draw | 94% | – | – |
| Brechin clean sheet | 49% | – | – |
| Strathspey Thistle clean sheet | 6% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 3 Oct
BRECHIN
STRATHSPEY THISTLE