Bo'ness United v Forfar Athletic
Bo'ness UnitedForfar AthleticFA Cup · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Forfar Athletic win at 44%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Forfar Athletic was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 30–26–43
- 1′KICK-OFF Bo'ness United v Forfar Athletic
- 18′Forfar Athletic score on 18′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–71
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Bo'ness United 0–1 Forfar Athletic
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Forfar Athletic win: 44% at kick-off, 71% now
- 19′We published Forfar Athletic at 44%. Our model now makes it 71%. 0–1 · 11–19–71
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 9–19–72
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Forfar Athletic win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Bo'ness United 0–1 Forfar Athletic
- 46′SECOND HALF Bo'ness United 0–1 Forfar Athletic
- 48′We published Forfar Athletic at 44%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
- 64′We published Forfar Athletic at 44%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 66′Bo'ness United find the net on 65′. 1–1. 1–1 · 20–55–25
- 66′We said Forfar Athletic at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 20–55–25
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Bo'ness United 1–1 Forfar Athletic
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Forfar Athletic win: 44% at kick-off, 25% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Forfar Athletic win 80%)
- 68′We said Forfar Athletic at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 19–57–24
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Forfar Athletic win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
- 74′We said Forfar Athletic at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–65–19
- 80′We said Forfar Athletic at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–76–14
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Forfar Athletic win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
- 83′A goal for Bo'ness United on 83′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Bo'ness United 2–1 Forfar Athletic
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Forfar Athletic win: 44% at kick-off, 1% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Bo'ness United win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 82%)
- 84′We said Forfar Athletic at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–1 · 91–8–0
- 85′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 92–8–0
- 90′J. Allan scores for Bo'ness United on 82′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME Bo'ness United 2–1 Forfar Athletic
- FTBo'ness United 2–1 Forfar Athletic · Forfar Athletic win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Forfar Athletic are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Bo'ness United 30%, draw 26%, Forfar Athletic 44%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Bo'ness United win30%Forfar Athletic win44%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundRound of 128
Match timeline
All events
Bo'ness UnitedMINForfar AthleticEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Bo'ness United
Forfar Athletic
Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League
Last match: 17 Oct · the Scottish League Two
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Forfar Athletic a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo'ness United win | 30% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Forfar Athletic win | 44% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | – | – |
| Bo'ness United or draw | 56% | – | – |
| Bo'ness United clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Forfar Athletic clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season · since 3 Oct
BO'NESS UNITED
FORFAR ATHLETIC
No matches in our record yet.