Stenhousemuir v Raith Rovers

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Stenhousemuir win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Stenhousemuir was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–31–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Stenhousemuir v Raith Rovers
4. 6′Much as we predicted: Stenhousemuir was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–32–27
5. 19′We published Stenhousemuir at 42%. Our model now makes it 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–9
6. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Stenhousemuir 1–0 Raith Rovers
7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Stenhousemuir win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
8. 20′Stenhousemuir score on 20′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 74–18–9
9. 31′We published Stenhousemuir at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
10. 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 75–18–7
11. 45′HALF-TIME Stenhousemuir 1–0 Raith Rovers
12. 46′Raith Rovers find the net on 46′. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–44–23
13. 46′SECOND HALF Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers
14. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers
15. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Stenhousemuir win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
16. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Stenhousemuir win 32%)
17. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Raith Rovers · On: P. McMullan · Off: K. Montagu
18. 52′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–48–22
19. 54′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–21
20. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Stenhousemuir
21. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Raith Rovers
22. 64′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
23. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Stenhousemuir win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
24. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Stenhousemuir · On: M. Gillies · Off: F. Robson
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Stenhousemuir · On: K. Bilham · Off: O. MacIntyre
26. 72′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
27. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Raith Rovers · On: L. Stevenson · Off: Z. Delaney
28. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Stenhousemuir · On: L. O'Donnell · Off: G. Stevenson
29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Stenhousemuir · On: L. Hodgkiss · Off: E. O'Reilly
30. 79′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–77–10
31. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Stenhousemuir win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
32. 83′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
33. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Stenhousemuir
34. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Stenhousemuir · On: D. Carrick · Off: A. Shinnie
35. 90′We said Stenhousemuir at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
36. FTFULL TIME Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers
37. FTStenhousemuir 1–1 Raith Rovers · Stenhousemuir win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.