Home › Football › Championship › Dunfermline v Partick
Back

Dunfermline v Partick
Dunfermline
PartickChampionship · TUE 20 OCT · East End Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Partick win at 36%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Partick 36% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 31–33–35
- 1′KICK-OFF Dunfermline v Partick
- 14′Partick find the net on 14′. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–20–70
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Dunfermline 0–1 Partick
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Partick win: 36% at kick-off, 70% now
- 15′Partick ahead on 13′ through T. Watt. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–20–70
- 15′We said Partick at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 11–20–70
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 8–20–72
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Dunfermline 1–1 Partick
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Partick win: 36% at kick-off, 29% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Partick win 74%)
- 42′A goal for Dunfermline on 41′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 26–45–29
- 45′HALF-TIME Dunfermline 1–1 Partick
- 45′SECOND HALF Dunfermline 1–1 Partick
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Partick · On: D. O'Reilly · Off: C. Loughrey
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Partick win: 36% at kick-off, 26% now
- 57′We said Partick at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 22–54–24
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Partick · On: S. Drozd · Off: G. Mackay-Steven
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Partick
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Partick · On: A. Samuel · Off: B. Stanway
- 67′We said Partick at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Dunfermline · On: O. Thomas · Off: K. Bray
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Dunfermline · On: J. Cooper · Off: R. MacLeod
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Partick win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
- 75′We said Partick at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
- 81′We said Partick at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–9
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Partick · On: E. Henderson · Off: T. Watt
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Partick · On: R. Crawford · Off: O. Smyth
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Dunfermline
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Dunfermline · On: C. Morrison · Off: A. Amade
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Partick win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Dunfermline · On: C. Gilmour · Off: O. Adams
- 89′We said Partick at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- 90′1–1 at the end. Our 36% on Partick misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Dunfermline · On: O. Shaw · Off: A. Oyirwoth
- FTFULL TIME Dunfermline 1–1 Partick
- FTDunfermline 1–1 Partick · Partick win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Partick just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Dunfermline 31%, draw 33%, Partick 36%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Dunfermline win31%
Partick win36%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:45
RoundMatchday 8
VenueEast End Park
RefereeP. Stuart
Match timeline
All events
DunfermlineMIN
PartickEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dunfermline
Partick
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dunfermline
Partick
Last match: 17 Oct · the Scottish Championship
Last match: 16 Oct · the Scottish Championship
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dunfermline
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Oxborough
24 D. Lobban
25 A. Donnelly
6 N. Abdulai
47 R. Fraser
22 K. Bray
19 A. Oyirwoth
14 A. Amade
16 R. MacLeod
99 O. Adams
26 A. Tod
Coach · Neil Lennon
Substitutes
12 · M. Dibaga
3 · J. Tod
7 · C. Morrison
8 · C. Gilmour
10 · O. Shaw
11 · S. Kearney
17 · O. Thomas
18 · K. Corbally
33 · J. Cooper
Partick
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Budinauckas
24 B. McPherson
5 L. Ashcroft
22 C. Loughrey
3 P. Reading
8 O. Smyth
6 B. Dempsey
11 G. Mackay-Steven
26 B. Stanway
21 A. Fitzpatrick
32 T. Watt
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · L. McFarlane
2 · C. Logan
7 · S. Drozd
9 · A. Samuel
10 · E. Henderson
14 · R. Crawford
17 · E. Ingram
20 · D. O'Reilly
64 · T. Letsosa
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dunfermline
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Oxborough
24 D. Lobban
25 A. Donnelly
6 N. Abdulai
47 R. Fraser
22 K. Bray
19 A. Oyirwoth
14 A. Amade
16 R. MacLeod
99 O. Adams
26 A. Tod
Coach · Neil Lennon
Substitutes
12 · M. Dibaga
3 · J. Tod
7 · C. Morrison
8 · C. Gilmour
10 · O. Shaw
11 · S. Kearney
17 · O. Thomas
18 · K. Corbally
33 · J. Cooper
Partick
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Budinauckas
24 B. McPherson
5 L. Ashcroft
22 C. Loughrey
3 P. Reading
8 O. Smyth
6 B. Dempsey
11 G. Mackay-Steven
26 B. Stanway
21 A. Fitzpatrick
32 T. Watt
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · L. McFarlane
2 · C. Logan
7 · S. Drozd
9 · A. Samuel
10 · E. Henderson
14 · R. Crawford
17 · E. Ingram
20 · D. O'Reilly
64 · T. Letsosa
We make Partick a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline win | 31% | 33% | −2 |
| Draw | 33% | 29% | +4 |
| Partick win | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 48% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 54% | −11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 72% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 28% | −12 |
| Dunfermline or draw | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Dunfermline clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Partick clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Championship this season · since 28 Aug
DUNFERMLINE
PARTICK
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 11 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Partick | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | −2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | −10 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | −9 | 7 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 11 | −12 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.

Stenhousemuir
Raith Rovers
Inverness CT
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Arbroath
Morton
Queen's Park