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Gala Fairydean Rovers v Hamilton Academical

Gala Fairydean Rovers
0–2Full time
Hamilton Academical

Challenge Cup · TUE 13 OCT · Netherdale

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 22:30
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–2 Hamilton Academical HAMILTON ACADEMICAL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hamilton Academical win86%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.031

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hamilton Academical win at 86%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hamilton Academical was 86% before kick-off and our model makes it 86% now. 0–0 · 5–9–86
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Gala Fairydean Rovers v Hamilton Academical
  4. 20′20′ and it is 0–1: Hamilton Academical have scored. 0–1 · 1–5–94
  5. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–1 Hamilton Academical
  6. 30′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 0–1 · 1–5–94
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–1 Hamilton Academical
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–1 Hamilton Academical
  9. 48′⚽ GOAL · 20' Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–1 Hamilton Academical · D. Shiels (assist Trialist B)
  10. 62′⚽ GOAL · 20' Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–1 Hamilton Academical · D. Shiels (assist Trialist B)
  11. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–2 Hamilton Academical
  12. 70′Hamilton Academical find the net on 69′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
  13. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Hamilton Academical win: 86% at kick-off, 99% now
  14. FTFULL TIME Gala Fairydean Rovers 0–2 Hamilton Academical
  15. FTGala Fairydean Rovers 0–2 Hamilton Academical · Hamilton Academical win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

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The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 19:03 · locked at kick-off

Gala Fairydean Rovers win4%
Draw10%
Hamilton Academical win86%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:45

VenueNetherdale

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Gala Fairydean Rovers

Hamilton Academical

17Days since last match17
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Hamilton Academical5+59
36Gala Fairydean Rovers5−122

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hamilton academical winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 19:03 · locked at kick-off
86% The market–
Us86%

We make Hamilton Academical a 86% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–3.3, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gala Fairydean Rovers win4%––
Draw10%––
Hamilton Academical win86%––
Over 2.5 goals76%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals57%––
Gala Fairydean Rovers or draw14%––
Gala Fairydean Rovers clean sheet4%––
Hamilton Academical clean sheet49%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 10.9%
0123450 5.8 9.9 10.9 9.0 6.01 4.4 7.0 7.7 6.4 4.22 2.5 2.7 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gala Fairydean Rovers down, Hamilton Academical across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Challenge Cup since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Challenge Cup

GALA FAIRYDEAN ROVERS

LLLDD0–4 · 0–3 · 1–6 · 0–0 · 2–2

HAMILTON ACADEMICAL

LLLWWW2–5 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Clydebank5+913
2Ross County5+2212
3Airdrie United5+1212
4Elgin City5+1212
5Cove Rangers5+1112
6Peterhead5+712
7Alloa Athletic5+711
8Queen of the South5+711
9East Kilbride5+510
10Stirling Albion5+410
11Edinburgh City5+210
12St. Mirren U215+69
13Hamilton Academical5+59
14Montrose5+49
15Celtic II5+39
16Formartine United5+39
17Kelty Hearts5+19
18Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic5−29
19Hearts U215−119
20Annan Athletic5+48
21Spartans5+28
22Aberdeen U215+27
23East Fife5+17
24Forfar Athletic5−27
25Berwick Rangers5−57
26Dumbarton5−57
27Stranraer5+16
28Rangers U215+16
29Clachnacuddin5−24
30Kilmarnock II5−54
31Banks O' Dee5−84
32Fraserburgh5−134
33Clyde5−83
34Dundee United II5−83
35Cumbernauld Colts5−92
36Gala Fairydean Rovers5−122
37Cowdenbeath5−80
38Dundee II5−90
39Hibernian U215−100
40Motherwell U215−140

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.