NEOM v Al-Ettifaq

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said NEOM win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: NEOM was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF NEOM v Al-Ettifaq
4. 13′NEOM find the net on 13′. 0–0 · 40–30–30
5. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Alexandre Lacazette · NEOM
6. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was NEOM win 34%)
7. 45′HALF-TIME NEOM 0–0 Al-Ettifaq
8. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Ettifaq · On: Abdullah Al-Khateeb · Off: Radhi Al Oteibi
9. 45′SECOND HALF NEOM 0–0 Al-Ettifaq
10. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' NEOM win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
11. 54′We said NEOM at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–45–24
12. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–40–26
13. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Al-Ettifaq · On: Matija Gluscevic · Off: Sultan Ali Huran
14. 58′We said NEOM at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
15. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Abdoulaye Kanté · Al-Ettifaq
16. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Al-Ettifaq · On: Yasir Al-Shammari · Off: Khalid Al-Ghannam
17. 66′We said NEOM at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
18. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' NEOM win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
19. 73′We said NEOM at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
20. 74′7 shots for NEOM, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 19–66–15
21. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' NEOM · On: Muhanad Al Saad · Off: Georgios Masouras
22. 77′NEOM have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 16–71–13
23. 79′We said NEOM at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
24. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al-Ettifaq · On: Abdalellah Hawsawi · Off: Ondrej Duda
25. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al-Ettifaq · On: Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdi · Off: Jordan Larsson
26. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' NEOM win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
27. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Matija Gluscevic · Al-Ettifaq
28. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' NEOM · On: Khalil Al-Absi · Off: Mohannad Abu Taha
29. 83′82′: Abdullah Al-Khateeb on the scoresheet for Al-Ettifaq. 0–0 · 10–82–8
30. 83′We said NEOM at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
31. 83′Abdullah Al-Khateeb scores for Al-Ettifaq on 83′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 1–9–90
32. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' NEOM 0–1 Al-Ettifaq · Abdullah Al-Khateeb
33. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' NEOM win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
34. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Al-Ettifaq win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
35. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' NEOM · On: Abbas Al Hassan · Off: Valentín Vada
36. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' NEOM · On: Mohammed Al-Burayk · Off: Khalifah Al-Dawsari
37. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 89' NEOM · On: Haroune Camara · Off: Abdulmalik Al-Oyayari
38. FTFULL TIME NEOM 0–1 Al-Ettifaq
39. FTNEOM 0–1 Al-Ettifaq · NEOM win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.