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Al Taawon v Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Taawon
Al-Qadisiyah FCPro League · TUE 20 OCT · Al-Taawoun Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Qadisiyah FC win at 54%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Qadisiyah FC 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 22–24–54
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Taawon v Al-Qadisiyah FC
- 7′SUBSTITUTION · 7' Al Taawon · On: Nasser Al-Haleel · Off: Muteb Al-Mufarrij
- 15′SUBSTITUTION · 14' Al Taawon · On: Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji · Off: Abdulrahman Hendi
- 26′8 shots for Al-Qadisiyah FC, 0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 22–29–49
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Al-Qadisiyah FC win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Taawon 0–0 Al-Qadisiyah FC
- 46′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 21–37–42
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al Taawon · On: Rakan Al Tulayhi · Off: Younes El Bahraoui
- 46′SECOND HALF Al Taawon 0–0 Al-Qadisiyah FC
- 52′12 shots for Al-Qadisiyah FC, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 20–40–40
- 53′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 20–41–39
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 20–43–38
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Al-Qadisiyah FC win 40%)
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Al-Qadisiyah FC · On: Musab Al-Juwayr · Off: Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Al-Qadisiyah FC · On: Mateo Retegui · Off: Abdullah Al-Salem
- 61′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 18–47–34
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Al-Qadisiyah FC win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
- 69′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 16–56–28
- 73′Al-Qadisiyah FC have had 17 attempts to 6 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 14–62–25
- 74′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 13–63–24
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Al-Qadisiyah FC win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
- 78′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 11–70–19
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Al Taawon · On: Awn Al-Saluli · Off: Nasser Al-Haleel
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Al Taawon · On: Nedim Bajrami · Off: Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
- 82′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 8–78–14
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Al-Qadisiyah FC win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
- 86′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 5–85–9
- 89′20 shots for Al-Qadisiyah FC, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 4–89–7
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Qadisiyah FC · On: Turki Al-Ammar · Off: Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
- 92′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–94–4
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Al-Qadisiyah FC win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
- 97′Tijjani Reijnders scores for Al-Qadisiyah FC on 90′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–1–99
- 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Al Taawon 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC · Tijjani Reijnders
- 97′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+7' Al-Qadisiyah FC win: 54% at kick-off, 99% now
- 97′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+7' Al-Qadisiyah FC win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
- 98′We said Al-Qadisiyah FC at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–1 · 0–1–99
- FTFULL TIME Al Taawon 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC
- FTAl Taawon 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC · Al-Qadisiyah FC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Taawon 22%, draw 24%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 54%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Al Taawon win22%
Al-Qadisiyah FC win54%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 16:10
RoundMatchday 10
VenueAl-Taawoun Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al TaawonMIN
Al-Qadisiyah FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Al Taawon
5-4-1
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Taawon
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Last match: 17 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Last match: 16 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Al Taawon
5-4-1
1 Mailson
70 A. Hendi
40 Ibrahim Mahnashi
5 Z. Belaïd
32 Muteb Al Mufarrij
88 M. Petkov
7 Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
16 Faris Al Ghamdi
18 A. El Mahdioui
47 Y. El Bahraoui
9 A. Hamed Allah
Coach · V. Rašović
Substitutes
6 · Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
4 · Nasser Al Haleel
17 · Mohammed Al Aqel
30 · Abdullah Al Jadani
45 · Mohammed Al Saedi
93 · Awn Al Saluli
23 · Rakan Al Tulayhi
10 · N. Bajrami
8 · P. Guiagon
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2
1 K. Casteels
4 Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
17 G. Álvarez
8 N. Nández
2 Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
14 T. Reijnders
5 J. Weigl
15 Mohammed Al Qahtani
22 C. Bonsu Baah
33 J. Quiñones
9 Abdullah Al Salem
Coach · Brendan Rodgers
Substitutes
7 · Turki Al Ammar
18 · Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
10 · Musab Al Juwayr
28 · Ahmed Al Kassar
12 · Yasir Al Shahrani
35 · A. Al Siyahi
27 · E. Houssa
32 · M. Retegui
42 · Abdulaziz Tariq Al Qarawi
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Al Taawon
5-4-1
1 Mailson
70 A. Hendi
40 Ibrahim Mahnashi
5 Z. Belaïd
32 Muteb Al Mufarrij
88 M. Petkov
7 Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
16 Faris Al Ghamdi
18 A. El Mahdioui
47 Y. El Bahraoui
9 A. Hamed Allah
Coach · V. Rašović
Substitutes
6 · Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
4 · Nasser Al Haleel
17 · Mohammed Al Aqel
30 · Abdullah Al Jadani
45 · Mohammed Al Saedi
93 · Awn Al Saluli
23 · Rakan Al Tulayhi
10 · N. Bajrami
8 · P. Guiagon
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2
1 K. Casteels
4 Jehad Abdullatif Ahm
17 G. Álvarez
8 N. Nández
2 Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
14 T. Reijnders
5 J. Weigl
15 Mohammed Al Qahtani
22 C. Bonsu Baah
33 J. Quiñones
9 Abdullah Al Salem
Coach · Brendan Rodgers
Substitutes
7 · Turki Al Ammar
18 · Abdulmalik Al-Jaber
10 · Musab Al Juwayr
28 · Ahmed Al Kassar
12 · Yasir Al Shahrani
35 · A. Al Siyahi
27 · E. Houssa
32 · M. Retegui
42 · Abdulaziz Tariq Al Qarawi
We make Al-Qadisiyah FC a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 55%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawon win | 22% | 15% | +7 |
| Draw | 24% | 20% | +4 |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC win | 54% | 65% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 63% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 58% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 82% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 43% | −9 |
| Al Taawon or draw | 46% | 35% | +11 |
| Al Taawon clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Pro League this season · since 28 Aug
AL TAAWON
AL-QADISIYAH FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | NEOM | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 9 | −1 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | −4 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 11 | Al-Hazm | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | −8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 9 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 10 | −7 | 7 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 10 | −11 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 9 | −12 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ittihad FC
NEOM
Al-Ettifaq
Al Diriyah
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fayha
Al-Fateh
Abha