Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Shabab win at 49%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Al Shabab v Al-Faisaly FC
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Al Shabab was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
4. 8′Al Shabab ahead on 7′ through Josh Brownhill. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–9
5. 8′We published Al Shabab at 49%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–9
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Faisaly FC · Josh Brownhill
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Al Shabab win: 49% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–7
9. 31′Josh Brownhill scores for Al Shabab on 30′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–2
10. 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Al Shabab 2–0 Al-Faisaly FC · Josh Brownhill
11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Al Shabab win: 49% at kick-off, 93% now
12. 32′We published Al Shabab at 49%. Our model now makes it 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–2
13. 39′38′: Andrei Girotto on the scoresheet for Al-Faisaly FC, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 77–17–6
14. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Faisaly FC · Andrei Girotto
15. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Al Shabab win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
16. 40′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 77–17–6
17. 45′HALF-TIME Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Faisaly FC
18. 45′SECOND HALF Al Shabab 2–1 Al-Faisaly FC
19. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al Shabab · On: Awad Haidar Amer Al Nashri · Off: Daniel Podence
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Christian Bassogog · Off: Jaime Seoane
21. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Tin Jedvaj · Al Shabab
22. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Dhari Sayyar Al Anazi · Al Shabab
23. 56′We published Al Shabab at 49%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–4
24. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Awad Haidar Amer Al Nashri · Al Shabab
25. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Abdullah Al-Mogren · Al-Faisaly FC
26. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Eid Al-Muwallad · Off: Abdulaziz Al-Bishi
27. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Theo Bongonda · Off: Abdullah Al-Mogren
28. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Mohammed Jahfali · Off: Abdullah Subayt
29. 71′We published Al Shabab at 49%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Abdulrahman Al Shereaf · Off: Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
31. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al Shabab · On: Abdulrahman Al-Oboud · Off: Abdullah Matuq
32. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Al Shabab win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
33. 80′Alexandre Mendy scores for Al-Faisaly FC on 79′. 2–1 · 90–9–1
34. 80′We said Al Shabab at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–2 · 15–75–10
35. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Al Shabab 2–2 Al-Faisaly FC · Alexandre Mendy (assist Abdulrahman Al Shereaf)
36. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Al Shabab win: 49% at kick-off, 15% now
37. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Al Shabab win 90%)
38. 81′We said Al Shabab at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–77–9
39. 82′Al Shabab have had 14 attempts to 9 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 12–79–8
40. 83′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 11–82–7
41. 85′We said Al Shabab at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
42. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Al Shabab win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
43. 92′We said Al Shabab at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
44. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Mohammed Jahfali · Al-Faisaly FC
45. 97′Al Shabab have had 16 attempts to 10 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 2–97–1
46. FTFULL TIME Al Shabab 2–2 Al-Faisaly FC
47. FTAl Shabab 2–2 Al-Faisaly FC · Al Shabab win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.