Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Hilal Saudi FC win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Al-Hilal Saudi FC was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 33–24–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Qadisiyah FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4. 19′SUBSTITUTION · 18' Al-Qadisiyah FC · On: Yasir Al-Shahrani · Off: Nahitan Nández
5. 21′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. Our model now makes it 68%. 0–1 · 13–19–68
6. 21′21′: Gabriel Martinelli on the scoresheet for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 13–19–68
7. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Al-Qadisiyah FC 0–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
8. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 12–19–69
10. 32′Al-Qadisiyah FC level it on 31′ through Julián Quiñones. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–30–39
11. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC · Julián Quiñones
12. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 43% at kick-off, 39% now
13. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Hassan Al-Tambakti · Al-Hilal Saudi FC
14. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
15. 46′SECOND HALF Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
16. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 49' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Sultan Mandash · Off: Gabriel Martinelli
17. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Al-Hilal Saudi FC win 36%)
18. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
19. 56′15 shots for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 10 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 27–41–32
20. 58′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 26–43–31
21. 62′Al-Hilal Saudi FC have had 16 attempts to 11 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 24–46–30
22. 63′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 24–47–29
23. 71′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 20–56–24
24. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
25. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Ali Lajami · Off: Hassan Al-Tambakti
26. 77′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 16–66–19
27. 77′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–2 · 2–14–84
28. 77′Rúben Neves scores for Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 77′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–14–84
29. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat · Al-Qadisiyah FC
30. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
31. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 43% at kick-off, 84% now
32. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 66%)
33. 78′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 1–13–85
34. 83′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
35. 84′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
36. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Al-Qadisiyah FC · On: Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani · Off: Musab Al-Juwayr
37. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
38. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 43% at kick-off, over 99% now
39. 85′84′: Sergej Milinković-Savić on the scoresheet for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
40. 85′4 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–0–100
41. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC
42. 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–6–93
43. 87′Al-Qadisiyah FC pull one back on 87′ through Mateo Retegui. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–6–93
44. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
45. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Salem Al-Dawsari · Off: Crysencio Summerville
46. 89′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
47. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Moteb Al-Harbi · Off: Theo Hernandez
48. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Mohamed Kanno · Off: Nasser Al-Dawsari Corrected
49. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Al-Qadisiyah FC · On: Turki Al-Ammar · Off: Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
50. FTFULL TIME Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC
51. FTAl-Qadisiyah FC 2–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC · Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.