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Al Kholood v Al-Qadisiyah FC

Al Kholood
0–5Full time
Al-Qadisiyah FC

Pro League · FRI 9 OCT · Al Hazm Club Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:33
Al Kholood 0–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC AL-QADISIYAH FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al-Qadisiyah FC win63%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.206
The market’s Brier score0.194

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Al Kholood win17%
Draw20%
Al-Qadisiyah FC win63%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:50

Venue · Al Hazm Club Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Al Kholood

4-2-3-1

1 A. M. Yousef H.

24 O. Abdulghani

47 A. Al Obaid

25 M. Camara

7 S. Al Shehri

8 S. Cisse

6 J. Buckley

70 M. Sawan

10 I. Kortajarena

11 C. da Costa

22 J. Domingues

Coach · Des Buckingham

Substitutes

30 · M. Al Shammari

48 · M. Al Yahya

67 · M. Al Rashidi

39 · A. Al Dawsari

52 · R. Jaman

26 · Y. Al Zubaidi

77 · L. Essomba

99 · Guga

41 · I. Barabaa

Al-Qadisiyah FC

3-5-2

1 K. Casteels

4 J. Thakri

6 N. Fernandez

17 G. Alvarez

2 M. Abu Al Shamat

14 T. Reijnders

5 J. Weigl

10 M. Al Juwayr

22 C. Bonsu Baah

33 J. Quinones

32 M. Retegui

Coach · Brendan Rodgers

Substitutes

28 · A. Al Kassar

12 · Y. Al Shahrani

35 · A. Al Siyahi

7 · T. Al Ammar

15 · M. Al Qahtani

18 · A. Al Jaber

27 · E. Houssa

9 · A. Al Salem

19 · H. Asiri

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Al Kholood

4-2-3-1

1 A. M. Yousef H.

24 O. Abdulghani

47 A. Al Obaid

25 M. Camara

7 S. Al Shehri

8 S. Cisse

6 J. Buckley

70 M. Sawan

10 I. Kortajarena

11 C. da Costa

22 J. Domingues

Coach · Des Buckingham

Substitutes

30 · M. Al Shammari

48 · M. Al Yahya

67 · M. Al Rashidi

39 · A. Al Dawsari

52 · R. Jaman

26 · Y. Al Zubaidi

77 · L. Essomba

99 · Guga

41 · I. Barabaa

Al-Qadisiyah FC

3-5-2

1 K. Casteels

4 J. Thakri

6 N. Fernandez

17 G. Alvarez

2 M. Abu Al Shamat

14 T. Reijnders

5 J. Weigl

10 M. Al Juwayr

22 C. Bonsu Baah

33 J. Quinones

32 M. Retegui

Coach · Brendan Rodgers

Substitutes

28 · A. Al Kassar

12 · Y. Al Shahrani

35 · A. Al Siyahi

7 · T. Al Ammar

15 · M. Al Qahtani

18 · A. Al Jaber

27 · E. Houssa

9 · A. Al Salem

19 · H. Asiri

Our number · al-qadisiyah fc winPublished 9 Oct 14:32
63% The market64%
Us63%
Market64%

We make Al-Qadisiyah FC a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–2.2.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:209 OCT 12:39
Our probability · al-qadisiyah fc win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 62% to 64% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Kholood win17%16%+1
Draw20%20%0
Al-Qadisiyah FC win63%64%−1
Over 2.5 goals64%62%+2
Both teams to score58%56%+2
Over 1.5 goals84%81%+3
Over 3.5 goals42%41%+1
Al Kholood or draw37%36%+1
Al Kholood clean sheet11%––
Al-Qadisiyah FC clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.6%
0123450 4.4 7.9 9.2 6.8 3.9 1 3.6 9.2 9.6 7.1 4.0 2 2.2 4.7 5.1 3.8 2.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Kholood down, Al-Qadisiyah FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting4.25
Over 2.54 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsALK 1–4 ALQ · ALQ 4–0 ALK · ALQ 4–1 ALK · ALK 0–3 ALQ

Form · last six in Pro League

AL KHOLOOD

WDWDWL3–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–2

AL-QADISIYAH FC

LWWWWD0–1 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 3–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC7+1818
2Al-Ittihad FC7+617
3Al-Nassr7+916
4Al-Qadisiyah FC7+816
5NEOM7+715
6Al-Ahli Jeddah7+612
7Al Kholood7+212
8Al Diriyah7+211
9Al-Ettifaq7011
10Al-Hazm7−28
11Al Riyadh7−88
12Al-Fayha7−46
13Al Khaleej Saihat7−75
14Al Shabab7−54
15Al-Fateh7−73
16Al-Faisaly FC7−83
17Al Taawon7−93
18Abha7−82

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.