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Al Kholood v Al-Ettifaq
Al Kholood
Al-EttifaqPro League · SAT 24 OCT · Al Hazm Club Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Ettifaq win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Ettifaq 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 33–26–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Kholood v Al-Ettifaq
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 10' Yasir Al-Shammari · Al-Ettifaq
- 33′SUBSTITUTION · 32' Al-Ettifaq · On: Sultan Ali Huran · Off: Moussa Dembélé
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Al-Ettifaq win 36%)
- 48′We said Al-Ettifaq at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 8–20–72
- 48′Khalid Al-Ghannam scores for Al-Ettifaq on 45′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–72
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Al Kholood 0–1 Al-Ettifaq
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Al-Ettifaq win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Al-Ettifaq win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 39%)
- 49′47′: Khalid Al-Ghannam on the scoresheet for Al-Ettifaq, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–93
- 49′We said Al-Ettifaq at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 0–2 · 1–6–93
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 47' Al Kholood 0–2 Al-Ettifaq · Khalid Al-Ghannam
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Al-Ettifaq win: 42% at kick-off, 93% now
- 50′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–2 · 1–6–93
- 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Ondrej Duda · Al-Ettifaq
- 56′We said Al-Ettifaq at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Al Kholood · On: Antoine Loic Essomba Bikoula · Off: Yaseen Al-Zubaidi
- 58′We said Al-Ettifaq at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 57' John Buckley · Al Kholood
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Julien Domingues · Al Kholood
- 62′14 shots for Al Kholood, 8 the other way, and they still trail 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al-Ettifaq · On: Jordan Larsson · Off: Ziyad Abdullah Al-Ghamdi
- 69′16 shots for Al Kholood, 9 the other way, and they still trail 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Al Kholood · On: Mohammed Sawaan · Off: Sultan Al Shehri
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Al-Ettifaq · On: Meshal Al-Aeli · Off: Madallah Al-Olayan
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Al-Ettifaq · On: Matija Gluscevic · Off: Khalid Al-Ghannam
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Al-Ettifaq · On: Abdalellah Hawsawi · Off: Ondrej Duda
- 79′Bersant Celina scores for Al-Ettifaq on 78′. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 79′We said Al-Ettifaq at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Ettifaq · Bersant Celina (penalty)
- 80′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Jordan Larsson · Al-Ettifaq
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Al Kholood · On: Abdulrahman Obaid Al-Obaid · Off: Shaquille Pinas
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Al Kholood · On: Abdulrahman Al-Dosari · Off: Gustavo Gouveia Rodrigues Cruz
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Al Kholood · On: Yazan Madani · Off: Iker Kortajarena Canellada Corrected
- FTFULL TIME Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Ettifaq
- FTAl Kholood 0–3 Al-Ettifaq · Al-Ettifaq win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Al-Ettifaq are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Kholood 33%, draw 26%, Al-Ettifaq 42%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Al Kholood win33%
Al-Ettifaq win42%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:05
RoundMatchday 11
VenueAl Hazm Club Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al KholoodMIN
Al-EttifaqEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Al Kholood
4-4-2
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Kholood
Al-Ettifaq
Last match: 15 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Last match: 20 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Al Kholood
4-4-2
1 Hamed Abdullah Yousef
15 Ramzi Solan
38 S. Pinas
25 Mansour Camara
7 Sultan Al Shehri
26 Yaseen Al Zubaidi
6 J. Buckley
10 Iker Kortajarena
11 Coba
22 J. Domingues
99 Guga
Coach · D. Buckingham
Substitutes
39 · Abdulrahman Al Dosari
47 · Abdulrahman Al Obaid
30 · Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari
48 · Muhannad Al Yahya
77 · A. Essomba
23 · Yazan Madani
70 · Muhammad Sawan
24 · O. Abdulghani
67 · Mohammed Al Rashidi
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1
1 M. Rodák
70 Abdullah Khateeb
5 Pedro Henrique
4 J. Hendry
33 Madallah Al Olayan
58 Yasir Shammari
11 O. Duda
29 Z. Al Ghamdi
43 B. Celina
7 Khalid Al Ghannam
9 M. Dembélé
Coach · Arthur Papas
Substitutes
92 · Turki Ba Al Jawsh
88 · Ali Al Essa
13 · Meshal Al Alaeli
71 · M. Gluščević
77 · Abdulelah
99 · Sultan Ali Huran
87 · Meshal Sibyani
17 · J. Larsson
78 · Marzouq Tambakti
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Al Kholood
4-4-2
1 Hamed Abdullah Yousef
15 Ramzi Solan
38 S. Pinas
25 Mansour Camara
7 Sultan Al Shehri
26 Yaseen Al Zubaidi
6 J. Buckley
10 Iker Kortajarena
11 Coba
22 J. Domingues
99 Guga
Coach · D. Buckingham
Substitutes
39 · Abdulrahman Al Dosari
47 · Abdulrahman Al Obaid
30 · Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari
48 · Muhannad Al Yahya
77 · A. Essomba
23 · Yazan Madani
70 · Muhammad Sawan
24 · O. Abdulghani
67 · Mohammed Al Rashidi
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1
1 M. Rodák
70 Abdullah Khateeb
5 Pedro Henrique
4 J. Hendry
33 Madallah Al Olayan
58 Yasir Shammari
11 O. Duda
29 Z. Al Ghamdi
43 B. Celina
7 Khalid Al Ghannam
9 M. Dembélé
Coach · Arthur Papas
Substitutes
92 · Turki Ba Al Jawsh
88 · Ali Al Essa
13 · Meshal Al Alaeli
71 · M. Gluščević
77 · Abdulelah
99 · Sultan Ali Huran
87 · Meshal Sibyani
17 · J. Larsson
78 · Marzouq Tambakti
We make Al-Ettifaq a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood win | 33% | 37% | −4 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Al-Ettifaq win | 42% | 36% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 55% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 77% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 34% | 0 |
| Al Kholood or draw | 58% | 64% | −6 |
| Al Kholood clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Al-Ettifaq clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Pro League this season · since 29 Aug
AL KHOLOOD
AL-ETTIFAQ
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 | Al-Nassr | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 | NEOM | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 11 | −2 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | −4 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | −7 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Shabab | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Al-Hazm | 11 | −4 | 10 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 9 | −9 | 9 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 11 | −7 | 8 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | −9 | 7 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | −13 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 10 | −13 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
NEOM
Al Diriyah
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Shabab
Al-Hazm
Al Riyadh
Al-Fayha
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Abha