Home › Football › Pro League › Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Hazm
Back

Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Hazm
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-HazmPro League · MON 19 OCT · Kingdom Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Hilal Saudi FC win at 83%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Al-Hilal Saudi FC was 83% before kick-off and our model makes it 82% now. 0–0 · 82–12–6
- 1′KICK-OFF Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Hazm
- 22′7 shots for Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 77–16–7
- 24′SUBSTITUTION · 23' Al-Hazm · On: Ahmed Al-Shamrani · Off: Aboubacar·Diakite
- 26′Al-Hilal Saudi FC have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 76–17–8
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 73% now
- 36′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 71%. 0–0 · 71–20–8
- 41′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 69%. 0–0 · 69–22–8
- 45′Al-Hilal Saudi FC have had 12 attempts to 0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 67–24–9
- 45′SECOND HALF Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–0 Al-Hazm
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Ahmed Al-Nakhli · Al-Hazm
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Ahmed Al-Shamrani · Al-Hazm
- 47′HALF-TIME Al-Hilal Saudi FC 0–0 Al-Hazm
- 49′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–27–9
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 63% now
- 55′We expected about 3.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 60–31–9
- 56′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–32–9
- 62′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–37–9
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 53% now
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Hazm
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 91% now
- 68′Ollie Watkins scores for Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 67′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 92–8–1
- 69′GOAL DISALLOWED · 69' Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 46% now
- 71′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–49–8
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Al-Hazm · On: Amir Saâyoud · Off: Afimico Pululu
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Al-Hazm · On: Mohammed Al Hamdani · Off: Sofiane Bendebka
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 43% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Al-Hilal Saudi FC win 46%)
- 74′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–54–7
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Moteb Al-Harbi · Off: Theo Hernandez
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Sultan Mandash · Off: Hassan Al-Tambakti
- 77′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–60–7
- 77′Al-Hilal Saudi FC have had 16 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 33–60–7
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 33% now
- 79′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–64–6
- 82′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–72–5
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 23% now
- 84′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–78–4
- 87′We said Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–83–3
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 13% now
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Al-Hazm · On: Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami · Off: Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
- 89′We published Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83%. Our model now makes it 97%. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Hazm · On: Abdullah Al Shanqiti · Off: Abdurahman Al-Dakheel
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Hazm
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: 83% at kick-off, 97% now
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Al-Hilal Saudi FC win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 86%)
- 91′Gabriel Martinelli scores for Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 89′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 98–2–0
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Gabriel Martinelli · Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Salem Al-Dawsari · Off: Crysencio Summerville
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Nasser Al-Dawsari · Off: Mohamed Kanno
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Al-Hilal Saudi FC · On: Ali Lajami · Off: Gabriel Martinelli
- 98′Full time, 1–0. We called Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 83% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Hazm
- FTAl-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Hazm · Al-Hilal Saudi FC win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Al-Hilal Saudi FC are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 12%, Al-Hazm 6%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Al-Hilal Saudi FC win83%
Al-Hazm win6%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 10
VenueKingdom Arena
Match timeline
All events
Al-Hilal Saudi FCMIN
Al-HazmEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-1-4-1
Al-Hazm
5-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hazm
Last match: 13 Oct · AFC Champions League Elite
Last match: 15 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-1-4-1
37 Y. Bounou
2 Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
87 Hassan Tambakti
3 K. Koulibaly
19 T. Hernández
8 Rúben Neves
7 Gabriel Martinelli
22 S. Milinković-Savić
28 Mohamed Kanno
38 C. Summerville
11 O. Watkins
Coach · S. Inzaghi
Substitutes
77 · Nawaf Al Habashi
29 · Salem Al Dawsari
6 · Nasser Al Dawsari
24 · Moteb Al Harbi
18 · Murad Al Hawsawi
33 · Mohammed Al Owais
72 · S. Dahal
78 · Ali Lajami
27 · Sultan Mandash
Al-Hazm
5-4-1
36 J. Staněk
82 Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
4 Sultan Tanker
34 Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
3 A. Ben Hmida
27 Ahmed Al Nakhli
28 S. Bendebka
17 Bonheur Mugisha
24 A. Bah
29 Aboubacar Diakite
9 Afimico Pululu
Coach · J. Kadri
Substitutes
77 · M. Al Hamdani
70 · Ahmed Al Shamrani
13 · Abdullah Al Shanqiti
11 · Waleed Al Shanqiti
95 · Jaser Ateeq
10 · A. Sayoud
88 · K. Abduljawad
23 · Ibrahim Zaid
5 · Mohammed Issa
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-1-4-1
37 Y. Bounou
2 Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
87 Hassan Tambakti
3 K. Koulibaly
19 T. Hernández
8 Rúben Neves
7 Gabriel Martinelli
22 S. Milinković-Savić
28 Mohamed Kanno
38 C. Summerville
11 O. Watkins
Coach · S. Inzaghi
Substitutes
77 · Nawaf Al Habashi
29 · Salem Al Dawsari
6 · Nasser Al Dawsari
24 · Moteb Al Harbi
18 · Murad Al Hawsawi
33 · Mohammed Al Owais
72 · S. Dahal
78 · Ali Lajami
27 · Sultan Mandash
Al-Hazm
5-4-1
36 J. Staněk
82 Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
4 Sultan Tanker
34 Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
3 A. Ben Hmida
27 Ahmed Al Nakhli
28 S. Bendebka
17 Bonheur Mugisha
24 A. Bah
29 Aboubacar Diakite
9 Afimico Pululu
Coach · J. Kadri
Substitutes
77 · M. Al Hamdani
70 · Ahmed Al Shamrani
13 · Abdullah Al Shanqiti
11 · Waleed Al Shanqiti
95 · Jaser Ateeq
10 · A. Sayoud
88 · K. Abduljawad
23 · Ibrahim Zaid
5 · Mohammed Issa
We make Al-Hilal Saudi FC an 83% chance to win. The market has them at 88%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 3.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 82%, 83% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 88% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC win | 83% | 88% | −5 |
| Draw | 12% | 8% | +4 |
| Al-Hazm win | 6% | 4% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 76% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 40% | +10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 88% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw | 94% | 96% | −2 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Al-Hazm clean sheet | 5% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Pro League this season · since 28 Aug
AL-HILAL SAUDI FC
AL-HAZM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | +19 | 21 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 9 | −1 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | −4 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 11 | Al-Hazm | 9 | −3 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | −8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | −2 | 7 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | −6 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | −7 | 6 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 10 | −11 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 9 | −12 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
NEOM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ettifaq
Al Diriyah
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Abha