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Al-Hazm v Al-Fayha
Al-Hazm
Al-FayhaPro League · THU 22 OCT · Al Hazm Club Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Hazm win at 37%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Hazm 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–29–34
- 1′KICK-OFF Al-Hazm v Al-Fayha
- 5′We said Al-Hazm at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–20–14
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Fayha
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Al-Hazm win: 37% at kick-off, 66% now
- 6′5′: Bonheur Mugisha on the scoresheet for Al-Hazm, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 66–20–14
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Al-Hazm win: 37% at kick-off, 67% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 69–21–10
- 34′Al-Fayha level it on 33′ through Fashion Sakala. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–37–30
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fayha · Fashion Sakala
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Al-Hazm win: 37% at kick-off, 32% now
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Al-Hazm win 69%)
- 38′SUBSTITUTION · 37' Al-Fayha · On: Turki Al Jaadi · Off: Ahmed Bamasud
- 43′Al-Fayha have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 30–41–28
- 45′HALF-TIME Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fayha
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Hazm · On: Mohammed Al Hamdani · Off: Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
- 46′SECOND HALF Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fayha
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Al-Hazm win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 58′We said Al-Hazm at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–51–24
- 60′We said Al-Hazm at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–52–23
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Sofiane Bendebka · Al-Hazm
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al-Hazm · On: Waleed Al-Shanqiti · Off: Afimico Pululu
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al-Hazm · On: Ahmed Al-Shamrani · Off: Sofiane Bendebka
- 69′We said Al-Hazm at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Al-Hazm 1–2 Al-Fayha
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Al-Hazm win: 37% at kick-off, 3% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Al-Fayha win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 62%)
- 70′An own goal by Al-Hazm's Sultan Tanker on 69′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 3–17–81
- 70′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 3–17–81
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Ali Al-Hussain · Al-Fayha
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Al-Fayha · On: Fahad Al Hubayshi · Off: Yago Souza
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Al-Hazm · On: Jaser Muneer Shleaah Ateeq · Off: Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Fayha · On: Mokher Al-Rashidi · Off: Hugo Moura
- 90′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 90′89′: Amir Saâyoud on the scoresheet for Al-Hazm, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 4–92–4
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Al-Hazm 2–2 Al-Fayha
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Al-Fayha win 96%)
- FTFULL TIME Al-Hazm 2–2 Al-Fayha
- FTAl-Hazm 2–2 Al-Fayha · Al-Hazm win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Al-Hazm just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Al-Hazm 37%, draw 29%, Al-Fayha 34%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Al-Hazm win37%
Al-Fayha win34%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 14:40
RoundMatchday 11
VenueAl Hazm Club Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al-HazmMIN
Al-FayhaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1
Al-Fayha
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al-Hazm
Al-Fayha
Last match: 19 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Last match: 19 Oct · the Saudi Pro League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk
82 Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
4 Sultan Tanker
34 Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
3 A. Ben Hmida
17 Bonheur Mugisha
24 A. Bah
10 A. Sayoud
28 S. Bendebka
27 Ahmed Al Nakhli
9 Afimico Pululu
Coach · J. Kadri
Substitutes
70 · Ahmed Al Shamrani
77 · M. Al Hamdani
88 · K. Abduljawad
13 · Abdullah Al Shanqiti
11 · Waleed Al Shanqiti
5 · Mohammed Issa
95 · Jaser Ateeq
8 · M. Konaté
23 · Ibrahim Zaid
Al-Fayha
4-4-2
52 O. Mosquera
22 Mohammed Al Baqawi
21 Ziyad Al Sahafi
25 O. Colley
24 Ahmed Bamasud
40 Yago Santana
6 Ali Al Hussain
30 Alfa Semedo
5 Hugo Moura
23 Jason
10 F. Sakala
Coach · Fábio Carille
Substitutes
9 · Malek Al Abdulmanam
14 · Mansor Al Beshe
1 · Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel
12 · Turki Al Jaadi
67 · Danyal Al Habeeb
7 · Nawaf Al-Harthi
2 · Mukhir Al Rashidi
43 · Fahad Majed Alhubayshi
77 · R. Enad
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk
82 Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
4 Sultan Tanker
34 Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
3 A. Ben Hmida
17 Bonheur Mugisha
24 A. Bah
10 A. Sayoud
28 S. Bendebka
27 Ahmed Al Nakhli
9 Afimico Pululu
Coach · J. Kadri
Substitutes
70 · Ahmed Al Shamrani
77 · M. Al Hamdani
88 · K. Abduljawad
13 · Abdullah Al Shanqiti
11 · Waleed Al Shanqiti
5 · Mohammed Issa
95 · Jaser Ateeq
8 · M. Konaté
23 · Ibrahim Zaid
Al-Fayha
4-4-2
52 O. Mosquera
22 Mohammed Al Baqawi
21 Ziyad Al Sahafi
25 O. Colley
24 Ahmed Bamasud
40 Yago Santana
6 Ali Al Hussain
30 Alfa Semedo
5 Hugo Moura
23 Jason
10 F. Sakala
Coach · Fábio Carille
Substitutes
9 · Malek Al Abdulmanam
14 · Mansor Al Beshe
1 · Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel
12 · Turki Al Jaadi
67 · Danyal Al Habeeb
7 · Nawaf Al-Harthi
2 · Mukhir Al Rashidi
43 · Fahad Majed Alhubayshi
77 · R. Enad
We make Al-Hazm a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hazm win | 37% | 42% | −5 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Al-Fayha win | 34% | 30% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 49% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 54% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Al-Hazm or draw | 66% | 70% | −4 |
| Al-Hazm clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Al-Fayha clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Pro League this season · since 3 Sept
AL-HAZM
AL-FAYHA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 9 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 9 | +8 | 20 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 6 | NEOM | 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Al Diriyah | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Al-Ettifaq | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | −4 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 11 | Al-Hazm | 10 | −4 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 9 | −9 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 9 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 9 | −7 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 10 | −7 | 7 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 10 | −11 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 10 | −13 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Nassr
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
NEOM
Al Diriyah
Al-Ettifaq
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
Abha