Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Fateh win at 37%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Fateh 37% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 36–26–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Hazm v Al-Fateh
4. 18′We said Al-Fateh at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 1–0 · 64–22–15
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Fateh
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 15% now
7. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Al-Hazm win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Al-Fateh win 15%)
8. 19′17′: Sofiane Bendebka on the scoresheet for Al-Hazm, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 64–22–14
9. 20′We said Al-Fateh at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
10. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Abdulelah Al Khaibari · Al-Fateh
11. 25′We said Al-Fateh at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 87–10–4
12. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Al-Hazm 2–0 Al-Fateh
13. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 4% now
14. 25′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' Al-Hazm
15. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 13% now
16. 27′Al-Fateh level it on 27′ through Wilfried Kanga. 1–1. 1–1 · 33–32–35
17. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fateh · Wilfried Kanga
18. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 35% now
19. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 66–22–12
20. 30′GOAL DISALLOWED · 30' Al-Fateh
21. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 12% now
22. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fateh · Wilfried Kanga
23. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 34% now
24. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Al-Hazm win 31%)
25. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Ahmed Al-Shamrani · Al-Hazm
26. 45′10 shots for Al-Fateh, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 30–39–31
27. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fateh
28. 46′SECOND HALF Al-Hazm 1–1 Al-Fateh
29. 49′Amir Saâyoud scores for Al-Hazm on 49′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 70–22–8
30. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Al-Hazm 2–1 Al-Fateh · Amir Saâyoud
31. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 8% now
32. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Al-Hazm win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
33. 50′We said Al-Fateh at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–1 · 70–22–8
34. 50′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 70–22–8
35. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
36. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Al-Fateh · On: Mihai Lixandru · Off: Zaydou Youssouf
37. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Al-Fateh · On: Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari · Off: Sattam Tumbukti
38. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Al-Hazm · On: Mohamed Amine Ben Hamida · Off: Ahmed Al-Shamrani
39. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Al-Hazm · On: Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami · Off: Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
40. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Kennedy Boateng · Al-Fateh
41. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Fateh · On: Faisal Abdulwahed · Off: Abdulelah Al Khaibari
42. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Fateh · On: Fahad Al Zubaidi · Off: Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al-Hazm · On: Aboubacar·Diakite · Off: Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe
44. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al-Hazm · On: Mory Konate · Off: Sofiane Bendebka
45. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al-Hazm · On: Mohammed Al Hamdani · Off: Amir Saâyoud
46. 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 5–89–6
47. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Al-Hazm 2–2 Al-Fateh
48. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Al-Hazm win 5%)
49. 89′88′: Faisal Abdulwahed on the scoresheet for Al-Fateh, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 5–90–5
50. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Al-Fateh · On: Robin Kelder · Off: Lukáš Haraslín
51. 96′We said Al-Fateh at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–3 · 0–1–99
52. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Al-Hazm 2–3 Al-Fateh
53. 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+6' Al-Fateh win: 37% at kick-off, 99% now
54. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Al-Fateh win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
55. FTFULL TIME Al-Hazm 2–3 Al-Fateh
56. FTAl-Hazm 2–3 Al-Fateh · Al-Fateh win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.