Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Ahli Jeddah win at 62%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 62% before kick-off, 62% now. 0–0 · 15–23–62
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Fayha v Al-Ahli Jeddah
4. 3′A goal for Al-Ahli Jeddah on 2′. 0–0 · 16–23–61
5. 14′SUBSTITUTION · 14' Al-Ahli Jeddah · On: Artem Bondarenko · Off: Ziyad Al-Johani
6. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Alfa Semedo · Al-Fayha
7. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
8. 39′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 16–34–50
9. 41′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 16–35–49
10. 45′Al-Fayha ahead on 44′ through Hugo Moura. 1–0. 1–0 · 52–29–19
11. 45′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 52–29–19
12. 45′Artem Bondarenko scores for Al-Ahli Jeddah on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 16–37–48
13. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Al-Fayha 1–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah · Hugo Moura
14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 19% now
15. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Al-Fayha win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Al-Ahli Jeddah win 48%)
16. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
17. 46′SECOND HALF Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
18. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Al-Fayha 1–1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
19. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 46% now
20. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Al-Ahli Jeddah win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Al-Fayha win 54%)
21. 51′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 15–40–44
22. 53′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 15–42–43
23. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
24. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Al-Ahli Jeddah win 43%)
25. 59′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 14–47–39
26. 60′59′: Firas Al-Buraikan on the scoresheet for Al-Ahli Jeddah, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 2–12–86
27. 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' Al-Fayha 1–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah · Firas Al-Buraikan (penalty)
28. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 86% now
29. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Al-Ahli Jeddah win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 47%)
30. 61′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–2 · 2–12–86
31. 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–12–86
32. 66′Al-Fayha level it on 65′ through Jason Remeseiro. 2–2. 2–2 · 13–54–34
33. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Al-Fayha 2–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah · Jason Remeseiro
34. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 34% now
35. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Al-Ahli Jeddah win 87%)
36. 67′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 12–55–33
37. 67′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 12–55–33
38. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
39. 71′Valentin Atangana Edoa scores for Al-Ahli Jeddah on 70′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 1–10–89
40. 71′5 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 1–10–89
41. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Al-Fayha 2–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah · Valentin Atangana Edoa
42. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 89% now
43. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Al-Ahli Jeddah win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 59%)
44. 74′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–3 · 1–9–90
45. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Al-Ahli Jeddah win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
46. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Ahli Jeddah · On: Mohammed Abdulrahman Yousef · Off: Saeed Baattia
47. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Fayha · On: Mansor Al Beshe · Off: Hugo Moura
48. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Al-Ahli Jeddah · On: Meshal Al Materai · Off: Matheus Gonçalves Martins
49. 83′We said Al-Ahli Jeddah at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–3 · 0–5–95
50. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al-Fayha · On: Rayan Enad · Off: Mohammed Al-Baqawi
51. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al-Fayha · On: Fahad Al Hubayshi · Off: Mokher Al-Rashidi
52. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al-Fayha · On: Nawaf Al-Harthi · Off: Yago Souza
53. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Al-Ahli Jeddah · On: Makaya Ibrahima Diaby · Off: Valentin Atangana Edoa
54. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Al-Ahli Jeddah · On: Mohammed Sulaiman · Off: Eduard Spertsyan
55. FTFULL TIME Al-Fayha 2–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah
56. FTAl-Fayha 2–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah · Al-Ahli Jeddah win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.