Al-Fateh v Al Khaleej Saihat

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Fateh win at 42%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Fateh v Al Khaleej Saihat
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Al-Fateh was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–26–32
4. 34′33′: Lukáš Haraslín on the scoresheet for Al-Fateh, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 71–20–10
5. 34′⚽ GOAL · 33' Al-Fateh 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat · Lukáš Haraslín
6. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, 71% now
7. 35′We published Al-Fateh at 42%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–0 · 71–20–9
8. 36′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 71–20–9
9. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Ali Al-Hassan · Al-Fateh
10. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' A. Alamine Ali · Al-Fateh
11. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
12. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Fateh 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat
13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al Khaleej Saihat · On: Joshua King · Off: Thamer Al-Khaibri
14. 45′SECOND HALF Al-Fateh 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat
15. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Fateh · On: Fahad Al Zubaidi · Off: Ali Alamine
16. 54′We published Al-Fateh at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
17. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Ali Saeed Ali Al Shaafi · Al Khaleej Saihat
18. 60′Wilfried Kanga scores for Al-Fateh on 60′. 1–0 · 77–19–5
19. 60′We published Al-Fateh at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
20. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Al-Fateh 2–0 Al Khaleej Saihat · Wilfried Kanga
21. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, 95% now
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Al Khaleej Saihat · On: Saleh Al Amri · Off: Nawaf Al-Sadi
23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Al Khaleej Saihat · On: Musa Barrow · Off: Hussain Al Issa
24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Al-Fateh · On: Faisal Abdulwahed · Off: Lukáš Haraslín
25. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al Khaleej Saihat · On: Majed Omar Kanabah · Off: Mansour Hamzi
26. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al Khaleej Saihat · On: Pedro Rebocho · Off: Ali Saeed Ali Al Shaafi
27. 79′We published Al-Fateh at 42%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
28. 79′Musa Barrow scores for Al Khaleej Saihat on 78′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
29. 79′Al Khaleej Saihat have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
30. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Al-Fateh 2–1 Al Khaleej Saihat
31. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, 88% now
32. 80′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–1
33. 82′We published Al-Fateh at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Al-Fateh · On: Robin Kelder · Off: Hossam Essadak
35. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
36. 85′84′: Joshua King on the scoresheet for Al Khaleej Saihat, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 8–85–7
37. 85′We said Al-Fateh at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–85–7
38. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Al-Fateh 2–2 Al Khaleej Saihat · Joshua King (assist Mateo Benegas)
39. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, 8% now
40. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Al-Fateh win 8%)
41. 87′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 7–87–6
42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Al-Fateh · On: Abdul Aziz Al-Fawaz · Off: Abdulaziz Al-Suwailem
43. 90′Full time, 2–3. We called Al-Fateh at 42% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–3 · 0–0–100
44. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Mihai Lixandru · Al-Fateh
45. 91′We said Al-Fateh at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
46. 92′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–3–97
47. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Al-Fateh 2–3 Al Khaleej Saihat
48. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Al-Fateh win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
49. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Al Khaleej Saihat win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
50. 93′Al Khaleej Saihat ahead on 90′ through Omar Mascarell. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–2–98
51. FTFULL TIME Al-Fateh 2–3 Al Khaleej Saihat
52. FTAl-Fateh 2–3 Al Khaleej Saihat · Al-Fateh win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.