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Al-Fateh v Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Fateh
0–4Full time
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Pro League · FRI 9 OCT · Maydan Tamweel Al-Oula

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 18:32
Al-Fateh 0–4 Al-Ahli Jeddah AL-AHLI JEDDAH WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al-Ahli Jeddah win60%
The market said65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.244
The market’s Brier score0.186

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Al-Fateh win18%
Draw22%
Al-Ahli Jeddah win60%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 15:55

Venue · Maydan Tamweel Al-Oula

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Al-Fateh

5-4-1

1 A. Semper

22 A. R. Al Khaibre

8 M. Lixandru

17 M. Saadane

3 K. Boateng

78 A. Al Suwailem

11 M. Batna

6 A. Al Hassan

28 Z. Youssouf

10 L. Haraslin

9 W. Kanga

Coach · Khaled Al Atwi

Substitutes

94 · W. Al Enezi

87 · Bin Mahmoud

19 · R. Kelder

88 · O. Al Othman

18 · A. Al Fawaz

25 · M. Al Sahihi

80 · F. Al Abdulwahed

7 · F. Al Zubaidi

49 · S. Al Sharfa

Al-Ahli Jeddah

4-2-3-1

1 A. Al Sanbi

15 S. Baattia

28 M. Demiral

5 M. Sulaiman

31 S. Balobaid

6 V. Atangana

30 Z. Al Johani

7 Trincao

20 Matheus Goncalves

13 Galeno

17 I. Toney

Coach · Marino Pusic

Substitutes

62 · A. Abdo

46 · R. Hamidou

8 · E. Spertsyan

19 · A. Bondarenko

47 · S. Abu Al Shamat

11 · M. Al Mutairi

29 · M. Abdulrahman

9 · F. Al Buraikan

21 · A. Radif

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Al-Fateh

5-4-1

1 A. Semper

22 A. R. Al Khaibre

8 M. Lixandru

17 M. Saadane

3 K. Boateng

78 A. Al Suwailem

11 M. Batna

6 A. Al Hassan

28 Z. Youssouf

10 L. Haraslin

9 W. Kanga

Coach · Khaled Al Atwi

Substitutes

94 · W. Al Enezi

87 · Bin Mahmoud

19 · R. Kelder

88 · O. Al Othman

18 · A. Al Fawaz

25 · M. Al Sahihi

80 · F. Al Abdulwahed

7 · F. Al Zubaidi

49 · S. Al Sharfa

Al-Ahli Jeddah

4-2-3-1

1 A. Al Sanbi

15 S. Baattia

28 M. Demiral

5 M. Sulaiman

31 S. Balobaid

6 V. Atangana

30 Z. Al Johani

7 Trincao

20 Matheus Goncalves

13 Galeno

17 I. Toney

Coach · Marino Pusic

Substitutes

62 · A. Abdo

46 · R. Hamidou

8 · E. Spertsyan

19 · A. Bondarenko

47 · S. Abu Al Shamat

11 · M. Al Mutairi

29 · M. Abdulrahman

9 · F. Al Buraikan

21 · A. Radif

Our number · al-ahli jeddah winPublished 9 Oct 15:22
60% The market65%
Us60%
Market65%

We make Al-Ahli Jeddah a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–2.0.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al-Fateh win18%16%+2
Draw22%19%+3
Al-Ahli Jeddah win60%65%−5
Over 2.5 goals59%70%−10
Both teams to score56%63%−6
Over 1.5 goals81%86%−4
Over 3.5 goals37%49%−12
Al-Fateh or draw40%35%+5
Al-Fateh clean sheet13%––
Al-Ahli Jeddah clean sheet36%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%
0123450 5.3 9.0 9.5 6.5 3.3 1 4.4 10.2 9.7 6.6 3.4 2 2.5 5.0 5.1 3.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Fateh down, Al-Ahli Jeddah across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.62
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsALA 3–1 ALF · ALF 2–1 ALA · ALA 2–0 ALF · ALF 1–0 ALA

Form · last six in Pro League

AL-FATEH

LDDDLL0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–4

AL-AHLI JEDDAH

WLLWLW4–0 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 5–0 · 2–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC7+1818
2Al-Ittihad FC7+617
3Al-Nassr7+916
4Al-Qadisiyah FC7+816
5NEOM7+715
6Al-Ahli Jeddah7+612
7Al Kholood7+212
8Al Diriyah7+211
9Al-Ettifaq7011
10Al-Hazm7−28
11Al Riyadh7−88
12Al-Fayha7−46
13Al Khaleej Saihat7−75
14Al Shabab7−54
15Al-Fateh7−73
16Al-Faisaly FC7−83
17Al Taawon7−93
18Abha7−82

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.