Al-Faisaly FC v Al Kholood

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Faisaly FC win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Al-Faisaly FC was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Faisaly FC v Al Kholood
4. 7′Alexandre Mendy scores for Al-Faisaly FC on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–19–13
5. 7′We published Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–19–13
6. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Al-Faisaly FC 1–0 Al Kholood · Alexandre Mendy
7. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 68% now
8. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Andrei Girotto · Al-Faisaly FC
9. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Al-Faisaly FC 1–1 Al Kholood
10. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 39% now
11. 21′19′: Shaquille Pinas on the scoresheet for Al Kholood, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 39–30–31
12. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Al-Faisaly FC win 34%)
13. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Faisaly FC 2–2 Al Kholood
14. 46′45′: Julien Domingues on the scoresheet for Al Kholood. 1–1 · 33–40–27
15. 46′We said Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–2 · 10–23–67
16. 46′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 10–23–67
17. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Al-Faisaly FC 1–2 Al Kholood · Julien Domingues
18. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
19. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Al Kholood win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 23%)
20. 47′We said Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–67
21. 48′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 32–41–27
22. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Al-Faisaly FC 2–2 Al Kholood
23. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 32% now
24. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Al Kholood win 27%)
25. 49′Alexandre Mendy scores for Al-Faisaly FC on 45′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 32–42–26
26. 50′SECOND HALF Al-Faisaly FC 2–2 Al Kholood
27. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
28. 56′We said Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–47–24
29. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Christian Bassogog · Off: Theo Bongonda
30. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Abdullah Al-Mogren · Off: Jaime Seoane
31. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al Kholood · On: Mohammed Sawaan · Off: Yaseen Al-Zubaidi
32. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al Kholood · On: Antoine Loic Essomba Bikoula · Off: Abdulrahman Al-Dosari
33. 67′We said Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 23–57–20
34. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
35. 70′PENALTY MISSED · 70' Julien Domingues · Al Kholood
36. 73′We said Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–65–16
37. 74′15 shots for Al Kholood, 10 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 18–66–16
38. 75′Al Kholood have had 16 attempts to 11 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 18–68–15
39. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Abdullah Subayt · Off: Eid Al-Muwallad
40. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
41. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Ramzi Solan · Al Kholood
42. 86′85′: Alexandre Mendy on the scoresheet for Al-Faisaly FC. 2–2 · 7–87–6
43. 86′We published Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–2 · 94–6–0
44. 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Al-Faisaly FC 3–2 Al Kholood · Alexandre Mendy (assist Christian Bassogog)
45. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Al-Faisaly FC win: 41% at kick-off, 94% now
46. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Al-Faisaly FC win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
47. 88′We published Al-Faisaly FC at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
48. 89′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 96–4–0
49. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Al Kholood · On: Abdulrahman Obaid Al-Obaid · Off: Ramzi Solan
50. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Khalid Al Harbi · Off: Alexandre Mendy
51. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Al-Faisaly FC · On: Saud Thamer Haddad · Off: Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
52. FTFULL TIME Al-Faisaly FC 3–2 Al Kholood
53. FTAl-Faisaly FC 3–2 Al Kholood · Al-Faisaly FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.