Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Ittihad FC win at 45%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Ittihad FC 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 30–26–45
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FC
4. 18′George Ilenikhena scores for Al-Ittihad FC on 16′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–18–71
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 16' Al-Ettifaq 0–1 Al-Ittihad FC · George Ilenikhena
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Al-Ittihad FC win: 45% at kick-off, 71% now
7. 19′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 11–18–71
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–72
9. 34′34′: Sultan Ali Huran on the scoresheet for Al-Ettifaq. 0–1 · 9–19–72
10. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC · Sultan Ali Huran
11. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Al-Ittihad FC win: 45% at kick-off, 39% now
12. 41′Al-Ittihad FC have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 27–36–38
13. 43′SUBSTITUTION · 42' Al-Ettifaq · On: Madallah Al-Olayan · Off: Radhi Al Oteibi
14. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC
15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Al-Ettifaq · On: Bersant Celina · Off: Sultan Ali Huran
16. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' George Ilenikhena · Al-Ittihad FC
17. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Abdullah Al-Khateeb · Al-Ettifaq
18. 46′SECOND HALF Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al-Ittihad FC
19. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Al-Ittihad FC win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
20. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Al-Ittihad FC win 37%)
21. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 45+6' Abdoulaye Kanté · Al-Ettifaq
22. 54′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 24–43–33
23. 54′Houssem Aouar scores for Al-Ittihad FC on 53′. 1–1 · 24–43–33
24. 54′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–2 · 6–19–76
25. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Al-Ettifaq 1–2 Al-Ittihad FC · Houssem Aouar
26. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Al-Ittihad FC win: 45% at kick-off, 76% now
27. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Al-Ittihad FC win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 43%)
28. 55′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 5–19–76
29. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Al-Ettifaq · On: Khalid Al-Ghannam · Off: Meshal Al-Aeli
30. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Al-Ettifaq · On: Moussa Dembélé · Off: Matija Gluscevic
31. 62′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
32. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al-Ittihad FC · On: Ahmed Al-Ghamdi · Off: Saad Al-Mousa
33. 66′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Al-Ittihad FC · On: Youssef En-Nesyri · Off: George Ilenikhena
35. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Al-Ittihad FC · On: Marwan Al-Sahafi · Off: Steven Bergwijn
36. 75′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–2 · 2–14–85
37. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Al-Ittihad FC win: 45% at kick-off, 85% now
38. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al-Ettifaq · On: Abdalellah Hawsawi · Off: Yasir Al-Shammari
39. 81′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
40. 81′80′: Youssef En-Nesyri on the scoresheet for Al-Ittihad FC. 1–2 · 1–10–90
41. 82′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 1–3 · 0–1–99
42. 82′⚽ GOAL · 80' Al-Ettifaq 1–3 Al-Ittihad FC · Youssef En-Nesyri (assist Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti)
43. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Al-Ittihad FC win: 45% at kick-off, 99% now
44. 83′We said Al-Ittihad FC at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
45. 83′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
46. 86′Youssef En-Nesyri scores for Al-Ittihad FC on 85′. 1–3 · 0–0–100
47. 86′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
48. 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Al-Ettifaq 1–4 Al-Ittihad FC · Youssef En-Nesyri
49. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Al-Ittihad FC · On: Muath Faquihi · Off: Georginio Wijnaldum
50. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al-Ittihad FC · On: Saleh Al-Shehri · Off: Houssem Aouar
51. FTFULL TIME Al-Ettifaq 1–4 Al-Ittihad FC
52. FTAl-Ettifaq 1–4 Al-Ittihad FC · Al-Ittihad FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.