Al Diriyah v Al Taawon

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Taawon win at 36%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Al Taawon 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 35–29–36
3. 2′KICK-OFF Al Diriyah v Al Taawon
4. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Clayton diandy · Al Diriyah
5. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Al Taawon win 32%)
6. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Enzo Millot · Al Diriyah
7. 45′HALF-TIME Al Diriyah 0–0 Al Taawon
8. 46′SECOND HALF Al Diriyah 0–0 Al Taawon
9. 50′We said Al Taawon at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 1–0 · 72–21–7
10. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon
11. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Al Taawon win: 36% at kick-off, 7% now
12. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Al Diriyah win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
13. 51′Al Diriyah ahead on 50′ through Clayton diandy. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–21–6
14. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Al Taawon win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
15. 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 73–21–6
16. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Hussain Al-Sabiyani · Al Diriyah
17. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Al Taawon · On: Rakan Al Tulayhi · Off: Younes El Bahraoui
18. 60′We said Al Taawon at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–19–4
19. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Al Diriyah · On: Mohamed Hameran · Off: Hussain Al-Sabiyani
20. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Al Diriyah · On: Meshari Fahad Al Nemer · Off: Clayton diandy
21. 66′We said Al Taawon at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 1–1 · 21–58–21
22. 66′Abderrazak Hamdallah scores for Al Taawon on 66′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 21–58–21
23. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Al Diriyah 1–1 Al Taawon
24. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Al Taawon win: 36% at kick-off, 21% now
25. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Al Diriyah win 21%)
26. 67′Abderrazak Hamdallah scores for Al Taawon on 65′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 20–59–20
27. 70′We said Al Taawon at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Al Taawon win: 36% at kick-off, 16% now
29. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Faris Al-Ghamdi · Al Taawon
30. 76′We said Al Taawon at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–71–14
31. 80′PENALTY MISSED · 79' Darwin Nuñez · Al Diriyah
32. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Bruno Miguel Silva do Nascimento · Al Diriyah
33. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Al Taawon · On: Parfait Guiagon · Off: Faris Al-Ghamdi
34. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Al Taawon · On: Nedim Bajrami · Off: Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Al Taawon win: 36% at kick-off, 6% now
36. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Al Taawon · On: Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji · Off: Abdulrahman Hendi
37. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Al Diriyah · On: Taher Wadi · Off: Abdulaziz Al Faraj
38. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Al Diriyah · On: Qasem Lajami · Off: Óscar Rodríguez
39. 95′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
40. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Al Diriyah 2–1 Al Taawon
41. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Al Diriyah win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
42. 95′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+5' Al Diriyah
43. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Al Diriyah win 1%)
44. 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+6' Al Taawon · On: Nasser Al-Haleel · Off: Muteb Al-Mufarrij
45. FTFULL TIME Al Diriyah 1–1 Al Taawon
46. FTAl Diriyah 1–1 Al Taawon · Al Taawon win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.