Mudhar Club v Al Gottah prediction · Division 2

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Mudhar Club are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mudhar Club 46%, draw 28%, Al Gottah 26%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Mudhar Club v Al GottahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · postponed, not graded

Mudhar Club win46%

Draw28%

Al Gottah win26%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:05

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mudhar Club

Al Gottah

190Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Apr · Division 2

Last match: 9 Oct · Division 2

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
20	Al Gottah	1	−2	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mudhar club winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · postponed, not graded

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Mudhar Club a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mudhar Club v Al Gottah~~1.47 – 1.04

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mudhar Club win	46%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Al Gottah win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Mudhar Club or draw	74%	–	–
Mudhar Club clean sheet	36%	–	–
Al Gottah clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 9.4 7.5 4.5 1 10.9 13.3 6.4 2.3 2 8.7 8.9 4.7 3 4.3 4.4 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mudhar Club down, Al Gottah across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,133 Division 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mudhar Club at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Al Gottah away: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Mudhar Club, 1.04 for Al Gottah. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ALG 2–0 MUD · MUD 1–1 ALG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 9 Oct

MUDHAR CLUB

No matches in our record yet.

AL GOTTAH

L1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Sharq	1	+5	3
2	Al Entesar	1	+2	3
3	Al Rayan	1	+2	3
4	Al Safa	1	+1	3
5	Al-Kawkab	1	+1	3
6	Al Arabi SC	1	+1	3
7	Al Taraji	1	+1	3
8	Al-Wajj	1	+1	3
9	Al Hada	1	0	1
10	Al Jubail	1	0	1
11	Al Loa	1	0	1
12	Al Qous	1	0	1
13	Al Baten	1	0	1
14	Al Qwarah	1	0	1
15	Afif	1	−1	0
16	Al Najoom	1	−1	0
17	Al Nairyah	1	−1	0
18	Al Sahel	1	−1	0
19	Qilwah	1	−1	0
20	Al Gottah	1	−2	0
21	Jubbah	1	−2	0
22	Al-Washm	1	−5	0