Jerash v Al Qous prediction · Division 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

JerashDrawAl Qous

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:35

Before kick-off · Match result · Jerash 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jerash are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jerash 47%, draw 26%, Al Qous 27%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Jerash v Al QousBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Jerash win47%

Draw26%

Al Qous win27%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:35

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jerash

Al Qous

10Days since last match5

Last match: 19 Oct · Division 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Division 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Al Qous	3	0	3
30	Jerash	1	−1	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jerash winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:23 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Jerash a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jerash v Al Qous~~1.70 – 1.26

~~Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 3~~30 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Jerash win

Published at 46%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jerash win	47%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Al Qous win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Jerash or draw	73%	–	–
Jerash clean sheet	29%	–	–
Al Qous clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 6.4 5.5 4.1 1 7.8 12.0 6.9 2.9 2 7.5 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 4.3 5.3 3.3 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jerash down, Al Qous across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,157 Division 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.1% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Jerash at home: 2.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Al Qous away: 2.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Jerash, 1.26 for Al Qous. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct

JERASH

L1–2

AL QOUS

DDD2–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Sharq	3	+7	7
2	Al Entesar	3	+3	7
3	Al-Wajj	3	+3	7
4	Baish	2	+2	6
5	Al-Kawkab	3	0	6
6	Al Hada	2	+3	4
7	Al Rawdhah	2	+2	4
8	Al Sahel	3	0	4
9	Al Taraji	3	−1	4
10	Al Arabi SC	3	−1	4
11	Al-Ain	1	+3	3
12	Al Qalah	1	+2	3
13	Al Rayan	2	+1	3
14	Najran	1	+1	3
15	Al Qous	3	0	3
16	Al Shoalah	2	0	3
17	Arar	2	0	3
18	Al Najoom	3	−1	3
19	Al Safa	2	−2	3
20	Al Baten	2	0	2
21	Al Jubail	3	−1	2
22	Jubbah	3	−2	2
23	Mudhar Club	1	0	1
24	Al Nairyah	2	−1	1
25	Qilwah	2	−1	1
26	Afif	3	−2	1
27	Al Gottah	2	−2	1
28	Al Loa	2	−2	1
29	Al Qwarah	3	−3	1
30	Jerash	1	−1	0
31	Al-Washm	2	−7	0