Al-Washm v Jerash prediction · Division 2

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Al-Washm are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Washm 44%, draw 25%, Jerash 31%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Al-Washm v JerashBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Al-Washm win44%

Draw25%

Jerash win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:20

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Washm

Jerash

7Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Division 2

Last match: 19 Oct · Division 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
25	Jerash	1	−1	0
29	Al-Washm	2	−7	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-washm winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 20 Oct 00:15 · postponed, not graded

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Al-Washm a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al-Washm v Jerash~~1.72 – 1.41

~~Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct~~W0 D0 L2 · W0 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~29 v 25

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al-Washm win

Published at 43%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al-Washm win	44%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Jerash win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Al-Washm or draw	69%	–	–
Al-Washm clean sheet	25%	–	–
Jerash clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 5.4 5.3 4.4 2.1 1 6.6 11.4 7.4 3.5 2 6.4 8.9 6.3 3.0 3 3.7 5.1 3.6 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Washm down, Jerash across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,148 Division 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al-Washm at home: 2.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Jerash away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Al-Washm, 1.41 for Jerash. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~JER 4–2 ALW · ALW 2–0 JER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct

AL-WASHM

LL0–5 · 0–2

JERASH

L1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Wajj	3	+3	7
2	Al Entesar	2	+3	6
3	Al-Kawkab	2	+3	6
4	Al Sharq	2	+5	4
5	Al Sahel	3	0	4
6	Al Taraji	3	−1	4
7	Al Qalah	1	+2	3
8	Al Shoalah	1	+2	3
9	Al Rawdhah	1	+2	3
10	Al Rayan	2	+1	3
11	Baish	1	+1	3
12	Al Safa	1	+1	3
13	Najran	1	+1	3
14	Arar	2	0	3
15	Al Arabi SC	2	−1	3
16	Al Qous	2	0	2
17	Al Jubail	2	0	2
18	Al Baten	2	0	2
19	Al Hada	1	0	1
20	Afif	2	−1	1
21	Al Gottah	2	−2	1
22	Al Loa	2	−2	1
23	Jubbah	2	−2	1
24	Al Qwarah	3	−3	1
25	Jerash	1	−1	0
26	Al Nairyah	1	−1	0
27	Qilwah	1	−1	0
28	Al Najoom	2	−2	0
29	Al-Washm	2	−7	0