Al-Washm v Al Rawdhah prediction · Division 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Al-Washm 0–2 Al Rawdhah AL-WASHM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Al-Washm win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.912

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al-Washm are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Washm 50%, draw 26%, Al Rawdhah 23%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Al-Washm v Al RawdhahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Al-Washm win50%

Draw26%

Al Rawdhah win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:25

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Washm

Al Rawdhah

7Days since last match190

Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2

Last match: 10 Apr · Division 2

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
24	Al-Washm	1	−5	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-washm winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Al-Washm a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al-Washm v Al Rawdhah~~1.67 – 1.06

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al-Washm win	50%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Al Rawdhah win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Al-Washm or draw	77%	–	–
Al-Washm clean sheet	35%	–	–
Al Rawdhah clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.7 6.0 3.7 1 10.0 12.4 6.1 2.2 2 9.1 9.5 5.0 3 5.1 5.3 2.8 4 2.1 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Washm down, Al Rawdhah across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,137 Division 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al-Washm at home: 3.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Al Rawdhah away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Al-Washm, 1.06 for Al Rawdhah. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ALR 1–1 ALW · ALW 1–3 ALR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct

AL-WASHM

L0–5

AL RAWDHAH

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Wajj	2	+1	4
2	Al Sharq	1	+5	3
3	Al Entesar	1	+2	3
4	Al Rayan	1	+2	3
5	Arar	1	+2	3
6	Baish	1	+1	3
7	Al Safa	1	+1	3
8	Al-Kawkab	1	+1	3
9	Al Arabi SC	1	+1	3
10	Al Taraji	2	−1	3
11	Al Baten	2	0	2
12	Al Hada	1	0	1
13	Al Jubail	1	0	1
14	Al Loa	1	0	1
15	Al Qous	1	0	1
16	Afif	2	−1	1
17	Al Qwarah	2	−1	1
18	Al Sahel	2	−1	1
19	Al Najoom	1	−1	0
20	Al Nairyah	1	−1	0
21	Qilwah	1	−1	0
22	Al Gottah	1	−2	0
23	Jubbah	1	−2	0
24	Al-Washm	1	−5	0