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Model 1.1

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Al-Wajj v Al Sahel

Al-Wajj
2–2Full time
Al Sahel

Division 2 · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 16:59
Al-Wajj 2–2 Al Sahel AL-WAJJ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al-Wajj win36%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.764

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Al-Wajj just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Wajj 36%, draw 29%, Al Sahel 36%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Al-Wajj v Al SahelBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Al-Wajj win36%
Draw29%
Al Sahel win36%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:45

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Wajj

Al Sahel

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Division 2

Last match: 9 Oct · Division 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Al-Wajj1+13
18Al Sahel1−10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-wajj winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
36% The market–
Us36%

We make Al-Wajj a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al-Wajj v Al Sahel1.28 – 1.28
Form · Division 2 this season · since 9 OctW1 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L1
Table places · points 3 v 08 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al-Wajj win36%––
Draw29%––
Al Sahel win36%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Al-Wajj or draw64%––
Al-Wajj clean sheet28%––
Al Sahel clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%
0123450 9.0 8.9 6.3 2.7 1 8.9 13.5 7.9 3.4 2 6.3 8.0 5.1 2.2 3 2.7 3.4 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Wajj down, Al Sahel across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 9 Oct

AL-WAJJ

W1–0

AL SAHEL

L0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Sharq1+53
2Al Entesar1+23
3Al Rayan1+23
4Al Safa1+13
5Al-Kawkab1+13
6Al Arabi SC1+13
7Al Taraji1+13
8Al-Wajj1+13
9Al Hada101
10Al Jubail101
11Al Loa101
12Al Qous101
13Al Baten101
14Al Qwarah101
15Afif1−10
16Al Najoom1−10
17Al Nairyah1−10
18Al Sahel1−10
19Qilwah1−10
20Al Gottah1−20
21Jubbah1−20
22Al-Washm1−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.