Al Loa v Najran prediction · Division 2

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Al Loa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Loa 53%, draw 24%, Najran 24%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Al Loa v NajranBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Al Loa win53%

Draw24%

Najran win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Loa

Najran

7Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Division 2

Last match: 19 Oct · Division 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Najran	1	+1	3
22	Al Loa	2	−2	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al loa winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Al Loa a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Loa v Najran~~1.93 – 1.23

~~Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct~~W0 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~22 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Loa win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Loa win	53%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Najran win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Al Loa or draw	76%	–	–
Al Loa clean sheet	30%	–	–
Najran clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.3 4.4 3.3 1 7.4 10.9 6.1 2.5 2 7.9 9.5 5.8 2.4 3 5.1 6.1 3.7 4 2.5 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Loa down, Najran across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,148 Division 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Al Loa at home: 2.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Najran away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Al Loa, 1.23 for Najran. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct

AL LOA

DL2–2 · 1–3

NAJRAN

W2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al-Wajj	3	+3	7
2	Al Entesar	2	+3	6
3	Al-Kawkab	2	+3	6
4	Al Sharq	2	+5	4
5	Al Sahel	3	0	4
6	Al Taraji	3	−1	4
7	Al Qalah	1	+2	3
8	Al Shoalah	1	+2	3
9	Al Rawdhah	1	+2	3
10	Al Rayan	2	+1	3
11	Baish	1	+1	3
12	Al Safa	1	+1	3
13	Najran	1	+1	3
14	Arar	2	0	3
15	Al Arabi SC	2	−1	3
16	Al Qous	2	0	2
17	Al Jubail	2	0	2
18	Al Baten	2	0	2
19	Al Hada	1	0	1
20	Afif	2	−1	1
21	Al Gottah	2	−2	1
22	Al Loa	2	−2	1
23	Jubbah	2	−2	1
24	Al Qwarah	3	−3	1
25	Jerash	1	−1	0
26	Al Nairyah	1	−1	0
27	Qilwah	1	−1	0
28	Al Najoom	2	−2	0
29	Al-Washm	2	−7	0