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Model 1.2

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Al Entesar v Al Najoom

Al Entesar
2–1Full time
Al Najoom

Division 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Al Entesar 2–1 Al Najoom AL ENTESAR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Entesar win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.529

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Entesar are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Entesar 41%, draw 29%, Al Najoom 30%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Al Entesar v Al NajoomBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Al Entesar win41%
Draw29%
Al Najoom win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:50

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Entesar

Al Najoom

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2

Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Al Entesar1+23
19Al Najoom1−10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al entesar winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Al Entesar a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Entesar v Al Najoom1.32 – 1.10
Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 OctW1 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L1
Table places · points 3 v 03 v 19

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Entesar win41%––
Draw29%––
Al Najoom win30%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals70%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Al Entesar or draw70%––
Al Entesar clean sheet34%––
Al Najoom clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%
0123450 10.2 8.8 5.4 1 10.7 13.8 7.0 2.6 2 7.8 8.4 4.6 3 3.4 3.7 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Entesar down, Al Najoom across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsALE 1–1 ALN · ALN 0–0 ALE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season · since 10 Oct

AL ENTESAR

W3–1

AL NAJOOM

L1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al-Wajj2+14
2Al Sharq1+53
3Al Entesar1+23
4Al Rayan1+23
5Arar1+23
6Baish1+13
7Al Safa1+13
8Al-Kawkab1+13
9Al Arabi SC1+13
10Al Taraji2−13
11Al Baten202
12Al Hada101
13Al Jubail101
14Al Loa101
15Al Qous101
16Afif2−11
17Al Qwarah2−11
18Al Sahel2−11
19Al Najoom1−10
20Al Nairyah1−10
21Qilwah1−10
22Al Gottah1−20
23Jubbah1−20
24Al-Washm1−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.