Al-Ain v Al Qalah prediction · Division 2

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Al-Ain are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al-Ain 47%, draw 28%, Al Qalah 25%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Al-Ain v Al QalahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · postponed, not graded

Al-Ain win47%

Draw28%

Al Qalah win25%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:45

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al-Ain

Al Qalah

177Days since last match190

Last match: 22 Apr · Division 2

Last match: 9 Apr · Division 2

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al-ain winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · postponed, not graded

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Al-Ain a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al-Ain v Al Qalah~~1.50 – 1.03

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al-Ain win	47%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Al Qalah win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Al-Ain or draw	75%	–	–
Al-Ain clean sheet	36%	–	–
Al Qalah clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.2 7.3 4.3 1 11.0 13.1 6.3 2.2 2 8.9 9.0 4.7 3 4.5 4.6 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Ain down, Al Qalah across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,133 Division 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Al-Ain at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Al Qalah away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for Al-Ain, 1.03 for Al Qalah. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Division 2 this season

AL-AIN

No matches in our record yet.

AL QALAH

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Sharq	1	+5	3
2	Al Entesar	1	+2	3
3	Al Rayan	1	+2	3
4	Al Safa	1	+1	3
5	Al-Kawkab	1	+1	3
6	Al Arabi SC	1	+1	3
7	Al Taraji	1	+1	3
8	Al-Wajj	1	+1	3
9	Al Hada	1	0	1
10	Al Jubail	1	0	1
11	Al Loa	1	0	1
12	Al Qous	1	0	1
13	Al Baten	1	0	1
14	Al Qwarah	1	0	1
15	Afif	1	−1	0
16	Al Najoom	1	−1	0
17	Al Nairyah	1	−1	0
18	Al Sahel	1	−1	0
19	Qilwah	1	−1	0
20	Al Gottah	1	−2	0
21	Jubbah	1	−2	0
22	Al-Washm	1	−5	0