Hajer v Al Orubah prediction · Division 1

AI match analysis

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Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Hajer v Al OrubahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 13:53 · postponed, not graded

Hajer win24%

Draw30%

Al Orubah win46%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 15:55

VenueHajer Club Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hajer

Al Orubah

24Days since last match24

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Al Orubah	6	0	7
14	Hajer	6	-3	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al orubah winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 13:53 · postponed, not graded

46% The market38%

Us46%

~~Market~~38%

We make Al Orubah a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Hajer v Al Orubah~~0.89 – 1.34

~~Last six in Division 1~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 7~~14 v 11

~~The market · Al Orubah win~~38% · ours 46%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · al orubah win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hajer win	24%	32%	−8
Draw	30%	30%	0
Al Orubah win	46%	38%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	38%	43%	−5
Both teams to score	43%	50%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	66%	67%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	19%	23%	−4
Hajer or draw	54%	62%	−8
Hajer clean sheet	27%	–	–
Al Orubah clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.4%

0123450 12.3 13.4 9.6 4.4 1 8.6 13.3 8.1 3.7 2 4.4 5.5 3.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hajer down, Al Orubah across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,667 Division 1 matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.3% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.83 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hajer at home: 0.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Orubah away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.89 goals for Hajer, 1.34 for Al Orubah. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.83

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HAJ 1–4 ALO · ALO 3–1 HAJ · ALO 0–1 HAJ · HAJ 2–2 ALO

Form · last six in Division 1

HAJER

LWDDLD0–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

AL ORUBAH

LDDDWD0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	6	13	18
2	Al Zulfi	7	8	13
3	Al Jabalain	7	2	12
4	Al Wehda Club	7	7	11
5	Al Najma	7	3	10
6	Al Anwar	7	2	10
7	Al Taee	7	-5	10
8	Al-Adalah	7	0	9
9	Damac	7	-2	9
10	Jeddah Club	6	-1	8
11	Al Orubah	6	0	7
12	Al Saqer	7	-1	7
13	Al-Raed	6	-3	7
14	Hajer	6	-3	6
15	Al Okhdood	6	-4	6
16	Al Jandal	6	0	5
17	Al Jeel	6	-7	2
18	Al Bukayriyah	7	-9	2