Al Wehda Club v Al Saqer prediction · Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al Wehda ClubDrawAl Saqer

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:25

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Wehda Club 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Wehda Club are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Wehda Club 40%, draw 27%, Al Saqer 32%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Al Wehda Club v Al SaqerBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Wehda Club win40%

Draw27%

Al Saqer win32%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 15:25

RoundMatchday 9

VenueKing Abdul Aziz Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Wehda Club

Al Saqer

6Days since last match8

Last match: 21 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

Last match: 19 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Al Wehda Club	8	+7	12
9	Al Saqer	8	+1	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al wehda club winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Al Wehda Club a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Wehda Club v Al Saqer~~1.45 – 1.28

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 31 Aug~~W2 D4 L0 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 10~~5 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Wehda Club win	40%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Al Saqer win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Al Wehda Club or draw	68%	–	–
Al Wehda Club clean sheet	29%	–	–
Al Saqer clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 7.9 7.5 5.4 2.3 1 8.6 12.9 7.5 3.2 2 6.9 8.5 5.4 2.3 3 3.3 4.1 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Wehda Club down, Al Saqer across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,677 Division 1 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.2% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Al Wehda Club at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Saqer away: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Al Wehda Club, 1.28 for Al Saqer. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 31 Aug

AL WEHDA CLUB

DDWDWD2–2 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 6–1 · 1–1

AL SAQER

DDLWLW0–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	7	+13	19
2	Al Jabalain	8	+3	15
3	Al Zulfi	8	+8	14
4	Al Najma	8	+5	13
5	Al Wehda Club	8	+7	12
6	Al-Adalah	8	+2	12
7	Damac	8	+1	12
8	Al Anwar	8	+2	11
9	Al Saqer	8	+1	10
10	Al-Raed	8	−4	10
11	Al Taee	8	−8	10
12	Al Orubah	7	0	8
13	Jeddah Club	8	−3	8
14	Al Okhdood	8	−6	7
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6
16	Hajer	7	−5	6
17	Al Bukayriyah	8	−9	3
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2