Al Ula v Al Jeel prediction · Division 1

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

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2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

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3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

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The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · postponed, not graded

Al Ula win72%

Draw19%

Al Jeel win9%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

VenuePrince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Al Ula

Al Jeel

5Days since last match23

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	6	+13	18
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ula winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · postponed, not graded

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Al Ula a 72% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–0.6, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Ula win	72%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Al Jeel win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Al Ula or draw	91%	–	–
Al Ula clean sheet	57%	–	–
Al Jeel clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 14.6%

0123450 7.9 3.4 1 13.6 8.7 2.4 2 14.6 8.2 2.5 3 10.4 5.7 4 5.8 3.1 5 2.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Ula down, Al Jeel across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,665 Division 1 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.8% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Al Ula at home: 2.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Al Jeel away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.15 goals for Al Ula, 0.58 for Al Jeel. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Division 1 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Division 1

AL ULA

WWWWWW3–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 5–1

AL JEEL

LLDLLD0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	6	+13	18
2	Al Wehda Club	7	+7	11
3	Al Zulfi	6	+6	10
4	Al Najma	7	+3	10
5	Al Anwar	7	+2	10
6	Al Taee	7	−5	10
7	Al-Adalah	7	0	9
8	Al Jabalain	6	0	9
9	Damac	7	−2	9
10	Jeddah Club	6	−1	8
11	Al Saqer	6	+1	7
12	Al Orubah	6	0	7
13	Al-Raed	6	−3	7
14	Hajer	6	−3	6
15	Al Okhdood	6	−4	6
16	Al Jandal	6	0	5
17	Al Bukayriyah	6	−7	2
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2