Al Taee v Jeddah Club prediction · Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al TaeeDrawJeddah Club

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Taee 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Taee are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Taee 45%, draw 27%, Jeddah Club 28%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Al Taee v Jeddah ClubBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Taee win45%

Draw27%

Jeddah Club win28%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 13:45

RoundMatchday 9

VenuePrince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Taee

Jeddah Club

8Days since last match6

Last match: 19 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

Last match: 21 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Al Taee	8	−8	10
13	Jeddah Club	8	−3	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al taee winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Al Taee a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Taee v Jeddah Club~~1.52 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 31 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~11 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Taee win	45%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Jeddah Club win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Al Taee or draw	72%	–	–
Al Taee clean sheet	33%	–	–
Jeddah Club clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.4 7.1 4.6 1 9.8 12.9 6.7 2.6 2 8.1 8.9 5.0 3 4.1 4.6 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Taee down, Jeddah Club across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,677 Division 1 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.2% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.25 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Taee at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Jeddah Club away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Al Taee, 1.13 for Jeddah Club. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.25

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ALT 1–2 JED · JED 0–0 ALT · JED 0–0 ALT · ALT 1–1 JED

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 31 Aug

AL TAEE

WLDWLL2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–6 · 1–4

JEDDAH CLUB

DDLLLL0–0 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	7	+13	19
2	Al Jabalain	8	+3	15
3	Al Zulfi	8	+8	14
4	Al Najma	8	+5	13
5	Al Wehda Club	8	+7	12
6	Al-Adalah	8	+2	12
7	Damac	8	+1	12
8	Al Anwar	8	+2	11
9	Al Saqer	8	+1	10
10	Al-Raed	8	−4	10
11	Al Taee	8	−8	10
12	Al Orubah	7	0	8
13	Jeddah Club	8	−3	8
14	Al Okhdood	8	−6	7
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6
16	Hajer	7	−5	6
17	Al Bukayriyah	8	−9	3
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2