Al-Raed v Al Saqer

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Raed win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al-Raed 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al-Raed v Al Saqer
4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' H. Al Mousa · Al Saqer
5. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' H. Al Shammari · Al-Raed
6. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al-Raed win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Al-Raed 0–0 Al Saqer
8. 45′SECOND HALF Al-Raed 0–0 Al Saqer
9. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Al-Raed win 38%)
10. 50′We said Al-Raed at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–42–22
11. 53′We said Al-Raed at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–21
12. 53′D. Sesugh scores for Al Saqer on 51′. 0–0 · 34–44–21
13. 53′We said Al-Raed at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–25–66
14. 53′⚽ GOAL · 51' Al-Raed 0–1 Al Saqer · D. Sesugh (assist T. Al Shaifan)
15. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Al-Raed win: 47% at kick-off, 10% now
16. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Al Saqer win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 44%)
17. 54′We said Al-Raed at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–66
18. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 33–46–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
19. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Al-Raed · On: N. Hazazi · Off: M. Al Sufyani
20. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Al Saqer · On: M. Al Shudukhi · Off: R. Gabriel Silva
21. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Al-Raed win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
22. 69′We said Al-Raed at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–75
23. 71′70′: J. Assehnoun on the scoresheet for Al Saqer. 0–1 · 4–19–77
24. 71′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 0–3–96
25. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Al-Raed 0–2 Al Saqer · J. Assehnoun (penalty)
26. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Al-Raed · On: Y. Al Harbi · Off: T. Al Shuqayran
27. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Al-Raed · On: M. Al Oufi · Off: H. Al Shammari
28. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Al-Raed · On: A. Al Harbi · Off: S. Al Salouli
29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al Saqer · On: D. Al Tarif · Off: H. Al Mousa Corrected
30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al Saqer · On: M. Hamza · Off: J. Assehnoun Corrected
31. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Al Saqer · On: M. Al Tuwaijri · Off: D. Sesugh
32. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Al Saqer · On: S. Al Dulaylan · Off: T. Al Shaifan
33. FTFULL TIME Al-Raed 0–2 Al Saqer
34. FTAl-Raed 0–2 Al Saqer · Al-Raed win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.