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Al Orubah v Al Bukayriyah
Al Orubah
Al BukayriyahDivision 1 · TUE 20 OCT · Al-Jouf University Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Orubah win at 52%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Orubah 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–29–20
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Orubah v Al Bukayriyah
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' A. Al Sultan · Al Orubah
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 42′We said Al Orubah at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–41–18
- 45′We said Al Orubah at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Orubah 0–0 Al Bukayriyah
- 45′SECOND HALF Al Orubah 0–0 Al Bukayriyah
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Al Orubah win 41%)
- 48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' N. Kaabi · Al Bukayriyah
- 51′SUBSTITUTION · 50' Al Bukayriyah · On: A. Owolabi · Off: N. Kaabi
- 55′We said Al Orubah at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–16
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
- 61′A. Zoubir scores for Al Orubah on 60′. 0–0 · 31–54–15
- 61′We said Al Orubah at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Al Orubah 1–0 Al Bukayriyah · A. Zoubir
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 85% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Al Orubah win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 54%)
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Al Orubah · On: A. Al Khail · Off: H. Al Dubais
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Al Bukayriyah · On: S. Al Muwallad · Off: A. Al Barakah
- 74′We said Al Orubah at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Al Orubah · On: F. Al Rasheed · Off: A. Al Sultan
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Al Orubah · On: K. Zakaria · Off: F. Al Rashidi
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
- 80′We said Al Orubah at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–7
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Al Orubah 1–1 Al Bukayriyah
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 14% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Al Orubah win 93%)
- 81′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 13–81–7
- 82′Al Bukayriyah level it on 80′ through an own goal by M. Krishan. 1–1. 1–1 · 11–83–6
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 11% now
- 84′We said Al Orubah at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Al Bukayriyah · On: A. M. Al Bishi · Off: I. Success
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Al Bukayriyah · On: M. Al Harbi · Off: B. Kuwas
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al Orubah · On: L. Al Shahrani · Off: A. Al Harfi
- 91′We said Al Orubah at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Al Orubah win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Al Orubah 1–1 Al Bukayriyah
- FTAl Orubah 1–1 Al Bukayriyah · Al Orubah win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Al Orubah are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Orubah 52%, draw 29%, Al Bukayriyah 20%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Al Orubah win52%
Al Bukayriyah win20%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 16:20
RoundMatchday 8
VenueAl-Jouf University Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al OrubahMIN
Al BukayriyahEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Orubah
Al Bukayriyah
Last match: 20 Sept · the Saudi Division 1
Last match: 13 Oct · the Saudi Division 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Orubah a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Orubah win | 52% | 48% | +4 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Al Bukayriyah win | 20% | 23% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 44% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 48% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 68% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 24% | −4 |
| Al Orubah or draw | 80% | 77% | +3 |
| Al Orubah clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
| Al Bukayriyah clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 22 Aug
AL ORUBAH
AL BUKAYRIYAH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 7 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | Al Zulfi | 8 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 | Al Jabalain | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 4 | Damac | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Wehda Club | 7 | +7 | 11 |
| 6 | Al Najma | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Anwar | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Saqer | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Raed | 8 | −4 | 10 |
| 10 | Al Taee | 8 | −8 | 10 |
| 11 | Al-Adalah | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Jeddah Club | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 | Al Orubah | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Okhdood | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Hajer | 6 | −3 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Jeel | 6 | −7 | 2 |
| 18 | Al Bukayriyah | 7 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Al Ula
Al Zulfi
Al Jabalain
Damac
Al Wehda Club
Al Najma
Al Anwar
Al Saqer
Al-Raed
Al Taee
Al-Adalah
Jeddah Club
Al Okhdood
Al Jandal
Hajer
Al Jeel