Al Jeel v Al Jandal prediction · Division 1

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Close to call, with Al Jandal just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Jeel 34%, draw 32%, Al Jandal 35%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Al Jeel v Al JandalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · postponed, not graded

Al Jeel win34%

Draw32%

Al Jandal win35%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 15:45

RoundMatchday 8

VenuePrince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Jeel

Al Jandal

31Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Sept · the Saudi Division 1

Last match: 14 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al jandal winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · postponed, not graded

35% The market37%

Us35%

~~Market~~37%

We make Al Jandal a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Jeel v Al Jandal~~1.06 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 21 Aug~~W0 D2 L4 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 2 v 6~~18 v 15

~~The market · Al Jandal win~~37% · ours 35%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Jandal win The market, margin stripped

Published at 34%, 35% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Jeel win	34%	33%	+1
Draw	32%	30%	+2
Al Jandal win	35%	37%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	36%	44%	−8
Both teams to score	43%	50%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	63%	68%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	17%	24%	−7
Al Jeel or draw	65%	63%	+2
Al Jeel clean sheet	35%	–	–
Al Jandal clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%

0123450 13.7 11.7 6.9 2.6 1 11.3 13.8 6.8 2.5 2 6.6 6.8 3.6 3 2.5 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Jeel down, Al Jandal across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,675 Division 1 matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.3% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Al Jeel at home: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Jandal away: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.06 goals for Al Jeel, 1.08 for Al Jandal. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 21 Aug

AL JEEL

LLDLLD0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–0

AL JANDAL

DLWLDD1–1 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	7	+13	19
2	Al Zulfi	8	+8	14
3	Al Najma	8	+5	13
4	Al-Adalah	8	+2	12
5	Al Jabalain	7	+2	12
6	Damac	8	+1	12
7	Al Wehda Club	7	+7	11
8	Al Anwar	7	+2	10
9	Al Saqer	8	+1	10
10	Al-Raed	8	−4	10
11	Al Taee	8	−8	10
12	Al Orubah	7	0	8
13	Jeddah Club	7	−2	8
14	Al Okhdood	8	−6	7
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6
16	Hajer	7	−5	6
17	Al Bukayriyah	8	−9	3
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2