Al Jandal v Damac prediction · Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al JandalDrawDamac

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:35

Before kick-off · Match result · Damac 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Damac are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Jandal 28%, draw 28%, Damac 44%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Al Jandal v DamacBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Jandal win28%

Draw28%

Damac win44%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:35

RoundMatchday 9

VenueAl-Jouf University Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Jandal

Damac

14Days since last match9

Last match: 14 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

Last match: 19 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Damac	8	+1	12
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · damac winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Damac a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Jandal v Damac~~1.14 – 1.49

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 27 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 12~~15 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Jandal win	28%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Damac win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Al Jandal or draw	56%	–	–
Al Jandal clean sheet	23%	–	–
Damac clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 8.5 9.8 7.9 4.0 1 7.3 13.0 8.8 4.4 2 4.8 6.8 5.0 2.5 3 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Jandal down, Damac across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,677 Division 1 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.2% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Al Jandal at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Damac away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for Al Jandal, 1.49 for Damac. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 27 Aug

AL JANDAL

DLWLDD1–1 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–1

DAMAC

DLWWLW2–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 0–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	7	+13	19
2	Al Jabalain	8	+3	15
3	Al Zulfi	8	+8	14
4	Al Najma	8	+5	13
5	Al Wehda Club	8	+7	12
6	Al-Adalah	8	+2	12
7	Damac	8	+1	12
8	Al Anwar	8	+2	11
9	Al Saqer	8	+1	10
10	Al-Raed	8	−4	10
11	Al Taee	8	−8	10
12	Al Orubah	7	0	8
13	Jeddah Club	8	−3	8
14	Al Okhdood	8	−6	7
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6
16	Hajer	7	−5	6
17	Al Bukayriyah	8	−9	3
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2