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Model 1.2

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Al Anwar v Al Wehda Club

Al Anwar
1–1Full time
Al Wehda Club

Division 1 · WED 21 OCT · Al-Anwar Club Stadium

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 18:31
Al Anwar 1–1 Al Wehda Club AL ANWAR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Al Anwar win43%
The market said30%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.848
The market’s Brier score0.824

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Anwar win at 43%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Al Anwar v Al Wehda Club
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Al Anwar was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–25–32
  4. 11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' A. Al Salem · Al Wehda Club
  5. 16′16′: R. Al Salem on the scoresheet for Al Anwar, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–18–13
  6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Al Anwar 1–0 Al Wehda Club · R. Al Salem
  7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Al Anwar win: 43% at kick-off, 69% now
  8. 17′15′: R. Al Salem on the scoresheet for Al Anwar, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–18–13
  9. 18′We published Al Anwar at 43%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–18–13
  10. 22′Al Wehda Club level it on 22′ through D. Gonzalez. 1–1. 1–1 · 40–29–31
  11. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Al Anwar 1–1 Al Wehda Club · D. Gonzalez
  12. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Al Anwar win: 43% at kick-off, 40% now
  13. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' S. Al Omari · Al Wehda Club
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Al Anwar 1–1 Al Wehda Club
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Al Anwar 1–1 Al Wehda Club
  16. 47′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–1 · 35–37–28
  17. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Al Anwar win 36%)
  18. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Al Anwar win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  19. 57′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–43–25
  20. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' S. Al Maqadi · Al Wehda Club
  21. 62′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–47–24
  22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al Anwar · On: T. Al Mutairi · Off: R. Al Salem
  23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al Wehda Club · On: W. Ayyash · Off: S. Al Maqadi Corrected
  24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Al Wehda Club · On: B. Whaeshi · Off: S. Al Omari
  25. 70′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20
  26. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Al Anwar win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
  27. 76′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–65–16
  28. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Al Anwar · On: M. Sharrahi · Off: I. K. Eissa
  29. 81′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
  30. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Al Anwar win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
  31. 85′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
  32. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al Anwar · On: M. Al Hazmi · Off: A. Bahusayn
  33. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Al Anwar · On: A. Al Rashidi · Off: F. I. Al Munaif
  34. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Al Wehda Club · On: M. Abdullah · Off: R. Al Maqadi
  35. 91′We said Al Anwar at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
  36. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 89' M. Al Hazmi · Al Anwar
  37. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Al Anwar win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  38. FTFULL TIME Al Anwar 1–1 Al Wehda Club
  39. FTAl Anwar 1–1 Al Wehda Club · Al Anwar win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Anwar are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Anwar 43%, draw 25%, Al Wehda Club 32%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Al Anwar v Al Wehda ClubBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Al Anwar win43%
Draw25%
Al Wehda Club win32%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueAl-Anwar Club Stadium

Line-ups

Al Anwar

Al Wehda Club

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Anwar

Al Wehda Club

9Days since last match9

Last match: 12 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

Last match: 12 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Al Wehda Club7+711
8Al Anwar7+210

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Al Anwar

Formation not confirmed

1 K. Shrahili

43 S. Grzan

19 C. Derradji

4 F. I. Al Munaif

12 R. Al Mutairi

8 K. Gabriel

29 A. Bahusayn

99 R. Bensayah

24 M. Al Harthi

7 I. K. Eissa

98 R. Al Salem

Coach · Essa Al Mahyani

Substitutes

33 · N. Al Dous

87 · A. Al Rashidi

2 · M. Al Zahrani

15 · M. Al Hazmi

66 · M. Sharrahi

88 · T. Al Mutairi

77 · K. Kaabi

9 · Bruno Bezerra

17 · A. Al Qahtani

Al Wehda Club

Formation not confirmed

44 A. Al Shammari

99 S. Al Omari

16 D. Halilovic

3 A. Al Salem

67 Y. Khurmi

5 R. Al Maqadi

6 A. Al Jaweed

9 P. Olayinka

24 S. Al Maqadi

20 D. Gonzalez

11 Muralha

Coach · Slavche Vojneski

Substitutes

34 · J. Al Oshbaan

66 · B. Whaeshi

19 · S. Al Qahtani

7 · A. Khadhari

28 · A. Al Omaisi

14 · W. Ayyash

29 · F. Al Taleb

12 · Morato

97 · M. Abdullah

Our number · al anwar winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
43% The market30%
Us43%
Market30%

We make Al Anwar a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Anwar v Al Wehda Club1.70 – 1.44
Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 26 AugW2 D3 L1 · W2 D4 L0
Table places · points 10 v 118 v 7
The market · Al Anwar win30% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 15:41
Our probability · Al Anwar win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Anwar win43%30%+13
Draw25%26%−1
Al Wehda Club win32%43%−11
Over 2.5 goals60%53%+7
Both teams to score62%57%+5
Over 1.5 goals82%75%+7
Over 3.5 goals38%32%+6
Al Anwar or draw68%57%+11
Al Anwar clean sheet24%––
Al Wehda Club clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 5.5 5.5 4.6 2.2 1 6.6 11.3 7.4 3.6 2 6.2 8.7 6.2 3.0 3 3.6 5.0 3.5 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Anwar down, Al Wehda Club across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsALA 5–1 ALW · ALW 3–1 ALA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 26 Aug

AL ANWAR

LDWWDD0–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

AL WEHDA CLUB

DDDWDW0–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 6–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Ula7+1319
2Al Zulfi8+814
3Al Najma8+513
4Al-Adalah8+212
5Al Jabalain7+212
6Damac8+112
7Al Wehda Club7+711
8Al Anwar7+210
9Al Saqer8+110
10Al-Raed8−410
11Al Taee8−810
12Al Orubah708
13Jeddah Club7−28
14Al Okhdood8−67
15Al Jandal706
16Hajer7−56
17Al Bukayriyah8−93
18Al Jeel6−72

The competition's standings before kick-off.