Al Anwar v Al Okhdood prediction · Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al AnwarDrawAl Okhdood

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Anwar 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Anwar are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Anwar 47%, draw 25%, Al Okhdood 28%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Al Anwar v Al OkhdoodBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Anwar win47%

Draw25%

Al Okhdood win28%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueAl-Anwar Club Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Anwar

Al Okhdood

5Days since last match6

Last match: 21 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

Last match: 20 Oct · the Saudi Division 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Al Anwar	8	+2	11
14	Al Okhdood	8	−6	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al anwar winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · updated 21 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Al Anwar a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Anwar v Al Okhdood~~1.77 – 1.29

~~Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 31 Aug~~W2 D4 L0 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 7~~8 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Anwar win

Published at 45%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Anwar win	47%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Al Okhdood win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Al Anwar or draw	72%	–	–
Al Anwar clean sheet	28%	–	–
Al Okhdood clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 6.1 5.4 4.0 1 7.6 11.4 6.7 2.9 2 7.3 9.0 5.7 2.5 3 4.3 5.3 3.4 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Anwar down, Al Okhdood across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,677 Division 1 matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.2% of games this season, across 69 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Al Anwar at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Al Okhdood away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Al Anwar, 1.29 for Al Okhdood. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 1 this season · since 31 Aug

AL ANWAR

DWWDDD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

AL OKHDOOD

DDLLDL0–0 · 2–2 · 2–4 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Ula	7	+13	19
2	Al Jabalain	8	+3	15
3	Al Zulfi	8	+8	14
4	Al Najma	8	+5	13
5	Al Wehda Club	8	+7	12
6	Al-Adalah	8	+2	12
7	Damac	8	+1	12
8	Al Anwar	8	+2	11
9	Al Saqer	8	+1	10
10	Al-Raed	8	−4	10
11	Al Taee	8	−8	10
12	Al Orubah	7	0	8
13	Jeddah Club	8	−3	8
14	Al Okhdood	8	−6	7
15	Al Jandal	7	0	6
16	Hajer	7	−5	6
17	Al Bukayriyah	8	−9	3
18	Al Jeel	6	−7	2